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Neighborhood · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally

Oak Run Eviction Risk: Lower , Buenaventura Lakes

Tract 12097042500 · Osceola, FL · pop 7,546 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

For landlords sizing up the Oak Run neighborhood of Buenaventura Lakes, census tract 12097042500 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.4/10. On the national scale it ranks #66,440 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 17% of renter households, a modest level, and 5% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,680 monthly, set against $79,531 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 22% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 18% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units2,105
Renter share22.4%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate8.0%
Median income$79,531

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Oak Run
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In Buenaventura Lakes
Very Low
Within county
26 th percentile
Rank, 26th percentileLowHigh
#44 of 59 tracts In Osceola
Low
Within state
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#3,359 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Buenaventura Lakes and the region

Centroid at 28.3369, -81.3679 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oak Run scores 2.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Buenaventura Lakes
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.0% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,680 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buenaventura Lakes
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buenaventura Lakes
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buenaventura Lakes
7.1

How Oak Run compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oak Run risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.82.8This tracttract 042500Buenaventura Lakes: 2.62.6Buenaventura Lakesparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 40

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 149Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 3.18%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.1%Peak (2008)
  • 19Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2008 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120970425002008: 24 filings (6.14/100 renter HHs)2009: 14 filings (3.58/100 renter HHs)2010: 15 filings (2.85/100 renter HHs)2011: 13 filings (2.21/100 renter HHs)2012: 18 filings (3.06/100 renter HHs)2013: 19 filings (3.23/100 renter HHs)2014: 15 filings (2.55/100 renter HHs)2016: 12 filings (1.93/100 renter HHs)2017: 19 filings (3.06/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 21% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Oak Run. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oak Run

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Buenaventura Lakes, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Osceola County average of 5.2 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 40th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 149 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 3.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.1% of renter households in 2008.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12097042500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12097042500?

Census tract 12097042500 in the Oak Run neighborhood scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12097042500?

Median gross rent is $1,680/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12097042500?

8.0% of residents in tract 12097042500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,546.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12097042500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 72th, minority 85th, housing 1th.
Q5

Is tract 12097042500 considered part of Oak Run?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12097042500 fall within Oak Run (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12097042500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 149 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12097042500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.18% of renter households, peaking at 6.1% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 12097042500 compare to Buenaventura Lakes overall?

Tract 12097042500 scores 2.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Buenaventura Lakes at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buenaventura Lakes; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buenaventura Lakes

Top eight tracts in Buenaventura Lakes ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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