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Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally

Oak Run Eviction Risk: Lower , Buenaventura Lakes

Tract 12097042702 · Osceola, FL · pop 7,398 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

12097042702 is a census tract in the Oak Run area of Buenaventura Lakes, FL. It scores 3.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 7,398. Severe burden reaches 38%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 5% Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units2,323
Renter share26.5%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate8.8%
Median income$58,537

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Oak Run
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Buenaventura Lakes
Moderate
Within county
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#35 of 59 tracts In Osceola
Moderate
Within state
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#2,414 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Buenaventura Lakes and the region

Centroid at 28.3224, -81.3587 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oak Run scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Buenaventura Lakes
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.8% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,762 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buenaventura Lakes
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buenaventura Lakes
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buenaventura Lakes
7.1

How Oak Run compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oak Run risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.9This tracttract 0427024.0Buenaventura Lakesparent city4.7Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 50

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 185Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 2.24%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.4%Peak (2008)
  • 22Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2008 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12097042702
Filings dropped 24% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Oak Run. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oak Run

Against Osceola County at 59.8%, 80% of renters here are cost-burdened. Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income of $58,537, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.8/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 25.2% against 11.3% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 185 filings here across 9 tracked years. Against the Osceola County average of 4.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. The worst year on record was 2008, when 3.4% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 2.2% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #50,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 5.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,762, close to the Buenaventura Lakes average.

27% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12097042702

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12097042702?

Census tract 12097042702 in the Oak Run neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12097042702?

Median gross rent is $1,762/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 80% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12097042702?

8.8% of residents in tract 12097042702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,398.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12097042702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 35th, minority 92th, housing 24th.
Q5

Is tract 12097042702 considered part of Oak Run?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12097042702 fall within Oak Run (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12097042702?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 185 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12097042702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.24% of renter households, peaking at 3.4% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 12097042702 compare to Buenaventura Lakes overall?

Tract 12097042702 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Buenaventura Lakes at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buenaventura Lakes; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buenaventura Lakes

Top eight tracts in Buenaventura Lakes ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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