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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally

Oak Run Eviction Risk: Elevated , Buenaventura Lakes

Tract 12097042400 · Osceola, FL · pop 6,579 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 12097042400 covers part of the Oak Run area of Kissimmee, FL, and scores 6.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,579 residents. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 9.3/10.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 4% Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units2,376
Renter share10.9%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate17.9%
Median income$66,797

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Oak Run
Very High
Within parent city
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#12 of 17 tracts In Buenaventura Lakes
Low
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 59 tracts In Osceola
High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#90 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Buenaventura Lakes and the region

Centroid at 28.3179, -81.3788 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oak Run scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Buenaventura Lakes
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
17.9% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$2,090 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buenaventura Lakes
9.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buenaventura Lakes
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buenaventura Lakes
8.9

How Oak Run compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oak Run risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.6This tracttract 0424004.0Buenaventura Lakesparent city4.7Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 102Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 2.63%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.4%Peak (2009)
  • 9Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2008 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12097042400
Filings dropped 25% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Oak Run. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oak Run

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.3/10. Set annual rent against average income of $66,797 and the ratio lands at 38%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.9/10. Against the Osceola County average of 4.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.9 points.

The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Average gross rent is $2,090, 27% above the Kissimmee average. Adults with no health insurance runs 22.1% against 11.3% nationally.

Cost burden runs roughly two in three here against 59.8% across Osceola County. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 102 filings here across 9 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2009, when 3.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.6% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #14,906 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 11% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 7.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 2.5 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12097042400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12097042400?

Census tract 12097042400 in the Oak Run neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12097042400?

Median gross rent is $2,090/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12097042400?

17.9% of residents in tract 12097042400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,579.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12097042400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 84th, minority 85th, housing 21th.
Q5

Is tract 12097042400 considered part of Oak Run?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12097042400 fall within Oak Run (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12097042400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 102 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12097042400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.63% of renter households, peaking at 3.4% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 12097042400 compare to Buenaventura Lakes overall?

Tract 12097042400 scores 6.6/10, higher than the parent city of Buenaventura Lakes at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buenaventura Lakes; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buenaventura Lakes

Top eight tracts in Buenaventura Lakes ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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