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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally

Oak Run Eviction Risk: Moderate , Buenaventura Lakes

Tract 12097042400 · Osceola, FL · pop 6,579 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 12097042400 runs through the Oak Run neighborhood of Buenaventura Lakes. With 6,579 residents, it scores 6.2/10 for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 81% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 65% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,090 a month while the average household earns $66,797 a year, roughly 38% of income at the averages. About 11% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 4% Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units2,376
Renter share10.9%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate17.9%
Median income$66,797

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Oak Run
Very High
Within parent city
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#12 of 17 tracts In Buenaventura Lakes
Low
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 59 tracts In Osceola
High
Within state
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#1,095 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Buenaventura Lakes and the region

Centroid at 28.3179, -81.3788 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oak Run scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Buenaventura Lakes
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
17.9% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$2,090 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buenaventura Lakes
9.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buenaventura Lakes
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buenaventura Lakes
8.9

How Oak Run compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oak Run risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 042400Buenaventura Lakes: 2.62.6Buenaventura Lakesparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 102Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 2.63%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.4%Peak (2009)
  • 9Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2008 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120970424002008: 12 filings (2.55/100 renter HHs)2009: 16 filings (3.40/100 renter HHs)2010: 16 filings (4.49/100 renter HHs)2011: 14 filings (3.08/100 renter HHs)2012: 7 filings (1.54/100 renter HHs)2013: 8 filings (1.76/100 renter HHs)2014: 10 filings (2.20/100 renter HHs)2016: 10 filings (2.43/100 renter HHs)2017: 9 filings (2.18/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 25% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Oak Run. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oak Run

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 9.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Buenaventura Lakes, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Osceola County average of 5.2 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 102 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 2.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.4% of renter households in 2009.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 12097042400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12097042400?

Census tract 12097042400 in the Oak Run neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12097042400?

Median gross rent is $2,090/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12097042400?

17.9% of residents in tract 12097042400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,579.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12097042400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 84th, minority 85th, housing 21th.
Q5

Is tract 12097042400 considered part of Oak Run?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12097042400 fall within Oak Run (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12097042400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 102 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12097042400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.63% of renter households, peaking at 3.4% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 12097042400 compare to Buenaventura Lakes overall?

Tract 12097042400 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Buenaventura Lakes at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buenaventura Lakes; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buenaventura Lakes

Top eight tracts in Buenaventura Lakes ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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