Tierra Verde Eviction Risk: Lower

The voucher gap is 37.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10.

26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. Running hot, supply constraint reads 8.8/10.

Court records carry 68 eviction filings across 18 observed years. Against the Pinellas County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.

The worst year on record was 2002, when 2.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.8% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 5% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 2.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.