Isla Del Sol Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Pete Beach

The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. At $3,106 a month, rents run 87% over what the rest of St. Petersburg commands.

The voucher gap is 57.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Set annual rent against average income of $85,281 and the ratio lands at 44%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 17 filings here across 10 tracked years. It sits 0.8 points below the Pinellas County average of 3.8.

The worst year on record was 2000, when 4.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.