Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Lake Maggiore Shores Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103020201 · Pinellas, FL · pop 5,049 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Census tract 12103020201 covers part of the Lake Maggiore Shores area of St. Petersburg, FL, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. 65% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,781
Renter share16.9%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$83,185
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
34
th percentile
Low
Within county
27
th percentile
Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.7307, -82.6645 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lake Maggiore Shores scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$2,142 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How Lake Maggiore Shores compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 49%Socioeconomic
- 31%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 53%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 3%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 302Total filings over 18 yrs
- 6.06%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.8%Peak (2002)
- 14Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 17% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 87Total filings 2020-21
- 1.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.54×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lake Maggiore Shores. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lake Maggiore Shores
Cost burden runs 85% here against 53.4% across Pinellas County. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.4/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
At $2,142 a month, rents run 29% over what the rest of St. Petersburg commands. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
Court records carry 302 eviction filings across 18 observed years. It sits 0.8 points below the Pinellas County average of 3.8. Filings peaked in 2002 at 14.8% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 6.1% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 17% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103020201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103020201?
Census tract 12103020201 in the Lake Maggiore Shores neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103020201?
Median gross rent is $2,142/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 85% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103020201?
5.8% of residents in tract 12103020201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,049.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103020201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 31th, minority 79th, housing 53th.
Q5
Is tract 12103020201 considered part of Lake Maggiore Shores?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103020201 fall within Lake Maggiore Shores (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103020201?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 302 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103020201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.06% of renter households, peaking at 14.8% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103020201 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.54× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103020201 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103020201 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12103020201 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12103020206
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bridgewater Place
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Palmetto Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bartlett Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Childs Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Thirteenth Street Heights
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riviera Bay
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Edge District
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Related