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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Coquina Key Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Petersburg

Tract 12103020302 · Pinellas, FL · pop 3,984 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Tract 12103020302 sits in the Coquina Key area of St. Petersburg, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. 23% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Pinellas County average of 53.4%.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 24% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,661
Renter share30.8%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate7.8%
Median income$97,418

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Coquina Key
Moderate
Within parent city
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#62 of 77 tracts In St. Petersburg
Very Low
Within county
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#204 of 273 tracts In Pinellas
Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region

Centroid at 27.7324, -82.6285 · click any tract to drill in

Why Coquina Key scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.8% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,634 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0

How Coquina Key compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Coquina Key risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0203023.5St. Petersburgparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 31

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 400Total filings over 18 yrs
  • 2.97%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.9%Peak (2005)
  • 18Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12103020302
Filings dropped 22% over the past 18 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 52Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.47×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Coquina Key

Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, economic stress reads 2/10.

The filing record is not thin: 400 evictions over 18 years of observation. Against the Pinellas County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.

Filings peaked in 2005 at 6.9% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 3.0% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.7/10. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,634, close to the St. Petersburg average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12103020302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103020302?

Census tract 12103020302 in the Coquina Key neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12103020302?

Median gross rent is $1,634/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12103020302?

7.8% of residents in tract 12103020302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,984.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12103020302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 6th, minority 66th, housing 42th.
Q5

Is tract 12103020302 considered part of Coquina Key?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103020302 fall within Coquina Key (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103020302?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 400 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103020302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.97% of renter households, peaking at 6.9% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12103020302 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.47× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12103020302 compare to St. Petersburg overall?

Tract 12103020302 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 12103020302 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg

Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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