Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #36,961 of 84,120 nationally
Historic Kenwood Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103021900 · Pinellas, FL · pop 3,027 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 12103021900, home to 3,027 residents in the Historic Kenwood area of St. Petersburg, scores 4.6/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 26% of US census tracts.
37% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,584 a month while the average household earns $78,929 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 42% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,316
Renter share41.9%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate23.3%
Median income$78,929
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
86
th percentile
High
Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
79
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.7714, -82.6761 · click any tract to drill in
Why Historic Kenwood scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
23.3% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$1,584 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How Historic Kenwood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 64%Socioeconomic
- 24%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 9%Grade B
- 26%Grade C
- 27%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 793Total filings over 18 yrs
- 8.95%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.4%Peak (2001)
- 38Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 54% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 194Total filings 2020-21
- 2.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.71×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Historic Kenwood
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 5.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.71x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103021900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103021900?
Census tract 12103021900 in the Historic Kenwood neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103021900?
Median gross rent is $1,584/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103021900?
23.3% of residents in tract 12103021900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,027.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103021900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 24th, minority 60th, housing 38th.
Q5
Is tract 12103021900 considered part of Historic Kenwood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103021900 fall within Historic Kenwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103021900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 793 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103021900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.95% of renter households, peaking at 18.4% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103021900 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.71× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103021900 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103021900 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12103021900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 27% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Thirteenth Street Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Childs Park
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12103020206
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Palmetto Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riviera Bay
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bridgewater Place
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bartlett Park
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Edge District
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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