Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally
Disston Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103022801 · Pinellas, FL · pop 5,072 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
12103022801 is a census tract in the Disston Heights area of St. Petersburg, FL. It scores 4/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,072 residents. 39% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Pinellas County average of 53.4%.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units2,191
Renter share36.7%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate13.3%
Median income$64,495
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
56
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.8042, -82.6895 · click any tract to drill in
Why Disston Heights scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.3% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,057 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How Disston Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 70%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 18%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 527Total filings over 18 yrs
- 5.29%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.0%Peak (2014)
- 46Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 92% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 139Total filings 2020-21
- 1.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.55×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Disston Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Disston Heights
Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. At $1,057 a month, rents run 36% under what the rest of St. Petersburg commands. 22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Court records carry 527 eviction filings across 18 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2014, when 9.0% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Petersburg. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 5.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 8.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103022801
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103022801?
Census tract 12103022801 in the Disston Heights neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103022801?
Median gross rent is $1,057/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103022801?
13.3% of residents in tract 12103022801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,072.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103022801?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 80th, minority 59th, housing 70th.
Q5
Is tract 12103022801 considered part of Disston Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103022801 fall within Disston Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103022801?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 527 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103022801 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.29% of renter households, peaking at 9.0% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103022801 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.55× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103022801 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103022801 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12103022801 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 18% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Bartlett Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Childs Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riviera Bay
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Thirteenth Street Heights
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103020206
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bridgewater Place
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Palmetto Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Holiday Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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