Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally
Magnolia Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103023100 · Pinellas, FL · pop 2,635 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of 4/10, tract 12103023100 in the Magnolia Heights area of St. Petersburg, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,635 residents. The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,222
Renter share21.0%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate15.2%
Median income$68,894
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
56
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.7996, -82.6587 · click any tract to drill in
Why Magnolia Heights scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.2% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,403 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How Magnolia Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 58
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 42%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 18%Grade C
- 64%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 374Total filings over 18 yrs
- 5.29%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.4%Peak (2002)
- 16Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 76Total filings 2020-21
- 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.73×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Magnolia Heights
42% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Pinellas County average of 53.4%. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.1/10.
Average gross rent is $1,403, 16% below the St. Petersburg average. Court records carry 374 eviction filings across 18 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2002, when 12.4% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Petersburg. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 5.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 21% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 6.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
It tracks the Pinellas County average of 3.8 closely.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103023100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103023100?
Census tract 12103023100 in the Magnolia Heights neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103023100?
Median gross rent is $1,403/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103023100?
15.2% of residents in tract 12103023100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,635.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103023100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 56th, minority 48th, housing 42th.
Q5
Is tract 12103023100 considered part of Magnolia Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103023100 fall within Magnolia Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103023100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 374 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103023100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.29% of renter households, peaking at 12.4% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103023100 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.73× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103023100 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103023100 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12103023100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 64% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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Riviera Bay
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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Thirteenth Street Heights
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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12103020206
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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Bridgewater Place
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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Palmetto Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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Bartlett Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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Holiday Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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