Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Northeast Park Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Petersburg

Tract 12103024002 · Pinellas, FL · pop 5,890 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 12103024002 in the Northeast Park area of St. Petersburg, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,890 residents. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 5% Owners 90%

Tract context

Occupied units2,880

Renter share9.9%

SVI overall0.15

Poverty rate3.0%

Median income$112,442

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region

Centroid at 27.8126, -82.6247 · click any tract to drill in

Why Northeast Park scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from St. Petersburg

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.0

State political climate

Florida legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

3.0% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$2,134 rent vs county FMR

5.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from St. Petersburg

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from St. Petersburg

4.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from St. Petersburg

4.0

How Northeast Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 15

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

25%Socioeconomic
16%Household composition
30%Racial/ethnic minority
20%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

25Total filings over 14 yrs
0.74%Avg annual filing rate
1.5%Peak (2016)
1Filings in 2017 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2000 to 2017

Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 18 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

16Total filings 2020-21
0.2Avg monthly (observed)
0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
0.48×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Northeast Park

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

At $2,134 a month, rents run 28% over what the rest of St. Petersburg commands. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Cost burden runs 47% here against 53.4% across Pinellas County.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 25 filings here across 14 tracked years. Against the Pinellas County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.

Filings peaked in 2016 at 1.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 0.7% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 10% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 2.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12103024002

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103024002?

Census tract 12103024002 in the Northeast Park neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 12103024002?

Median gross rent is $2,134/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 12103024002?

3.0% of residents in tract 12103024002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,890.

How socially vulnerable is tract 12103024002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 16th, minority 30th, housing 20th.

Is tract 12103024002 considered part of Northeast Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103024002 fall within Northeast Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103024002?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 25 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 12103024002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.74% of renter households, peaking at 1.5% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 12103024002 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.48× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.

How does tract 12103024002 compare to St. Petersburg overall?

Tract 12103024002 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg

Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org