Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #69,776 of 84,120 nationally
The Village of Lake Tarpon Eviction Risk: Lower , Palm Harbor
Tract 12103027204 · Pinellas, FL · pop 4,537 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
The The Village of Lake Tarpon neighborhood of Palm Harbor anchors census tract 12103027204, which lands at 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 47th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
58% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,835 a month while the average household earns $89,464 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 13% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,755
Renter share13.4%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate6.7%
Median income$89,464
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
8
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
13
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
20
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Palm Harbor and the region
Centroid at 28.1042, -82.7381 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Village of Lake Tarpon scores 2.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Palm Harbor
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.7% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,835 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Palm Harbor
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Palm Harbor
5.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Palm Harbor
7.1
How The Village of Lake Tarpon compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 29
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 23%Socioeconomic
- 54%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 182Total filings over 18 yrs
- 3.47%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.0%Peak (2008)
- 6Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 60% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 46Total filings 2020-21
- 0.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.90×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Village of Lake Tarpon
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Palm Harbor, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 29th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.90x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103027204
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103027204?
Census tract 12103027204 in the The Village of Lake Tarpon neighborhood scores 2.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103027204?
Median gross rent is $1,835/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103027204?
6.7% of residents in tract 12103027204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,537.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103027204?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 54th, minority 31th, housing 34th.
Q5
Is tract 12103027204 considered part of The Village of Lake Tarpon?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103027204 fall within The Village of Lake Tarpon (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103027204?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 182 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103027204 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.47% of renter households, peaking at 6.0% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103027204 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.90× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103027204 compare to Palm Harbor overall?
Tract 12103027204 scores 2.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Palm Harbor at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Palm Harbor; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Palm Harbor
Top eight tracts in Palm Harbor ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Highland Lakes
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Highland Lakes
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Westlake Village
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Gleneagles
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
12103027318
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Gleneagles
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Highland Lakes
2.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Harbor View
2.7
/ 10 · Low
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