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Census Tract · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

Palm Harbor Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12103027318 · Pinellas, FL · pop 4,152 · 79% of tract blocks fall in Palm Harbor

Tract 12103027318 sits in Palm Harbor, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4/10. It is home to 4,152 residents. 81% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Pinellas County average of 53.4%.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 4% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,959
Renter share20.6%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate11.5%
Median income$67,104

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 14 tracts In Palm Harbor
Elevated
Within county
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#118 of 273 tracts In Pinellas
Elevated
Within state
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#2,265 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#48,956 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Palm Harbor and the region

Centroid at 28.0535, -82.7228 · click any tract to drill in

Why Palm Harbor scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Palm Harbor
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.5% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,722 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Palm Harbor
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Palm Harbor
5.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Palm Harbor
7.1

How Palm Harbor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Palm Harbor risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.0This tracttract 0273183.8Palm Harborparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 138Total filings over 18 yrs
  • 1.97%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.0%Peak (2013)
  • 9Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12103027318
Filings dropped 36% over the past 18 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 67Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.31×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Palm Harbor

32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.8/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 138 evictions over 18 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2013 at 3.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 42nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the Pinellas County average of 3.8 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12103027318

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103027318?

Census tract 12103027318 in Palm Harbor scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12103027318?

Median gross rent is $1,722/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 81% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12103027318?

11.5% of residents in tract 12103027318 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,152.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12103027318?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 74th, minority 32th, housing 94th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103027318?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 138 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103027318 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.97% of renter households, peaking at 3.0% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12103027318 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.31× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12103027318 compare to Palm Harbor overall?

Tract 12103027318 scores 4/10, right in line with the parent city of Palm Harbor at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Palm Harbor; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Palm Harbor

Top eight tracts in Palm Harbor ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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