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Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally

Highland Lakes Eviction Risk: Lower , Palm Harbor

Tract 12103027317 · Pinellas, FL · pop 5,129 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

With a score of 3.8/10, tract 12103027317 in the Highland Lakes area of Palm Harbor, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,129. The severe-burden share is 29%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 14% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units2,028
Renter share33.0%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate12.2%
Median income$77,232

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In Highland Lakes
Elevated
Within parent city
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 14 tracts In Palm Harbor
Moderate
Within county
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#128 of 273 tracts In Pinellas
Moderate
Within state
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2,560 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Palm Harbor and the region

Centroid at 28.0619, -82.7265 · click any tract to drill in

Why Highland Lakes scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Palm Harbor
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.2% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,688 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Palm Harbor
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Palm Harbor
5.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Palm Harbor
7.1

How Highland Lakes compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Highland Lakes risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.8This tracttract 0273173.8Palm Harborparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 69

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 524Total filings over 18 yrs
  • 3.86%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.6%Peak (2005)
  • 29Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12103027317
Filings climbed 107% over the past 18 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 110Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.72×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Highland Lakes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Highland Lakes

The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.8/10.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. 59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Pinellas County average of 53.4%.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 524 filings here across 18 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2005 at 6.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 3.9% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #52,479 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.2/10.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Pinellas County average of 3.8 closely.

Average gross rent is $1,688, close to the Palm Harbor average. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $77,232.

33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12103027317

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103027317?

Census tract 12103027317 in the Highland Lakes neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12103027317?

Median gross rent is $1,688/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12103027317?

12.2% of residents in tract 12103027317 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,129.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12103027317?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 79th, minority 30th, housing 84th.
Q5

Is tract 12103027317 considered part of Highland Lakes?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103027317 fall within Highland Lakes (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103027317?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 524 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103027317 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.86% of renter households, peaking at 6.6% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12103027317 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.72× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12103027317 compare to Palm Harbor overall?

Tract 12103027317 scores 3.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Palm Harbor at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Palm Harbor; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Palm Harbor

Top eight tracts in Palm Harbor ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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