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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Windrush Eviction Risk: Lower , Tarpon Springs

Tract 12103027501 · Pinellas, FL · pop 6,245 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 12103027501 sits in the Windrush area of Tarpon Springs, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 6,245 residents. The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 5% Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units2,841
Renter share10.3%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate4.2%
Median income$93,906

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Windrush
Very High
Within parent city
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 6 tracts In Tarpon Springs
Low
Within county
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#209 of 273 tracts In Pinellas
Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tarpon Springs and the region

Centroid at 28.1543, -82.8051 · click any tract to drill in

Why Windrush scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tarpon Springs
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.2% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,490 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tarpon Springs
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tarpon Springs
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tarpon Springs
6.7

How Windrush compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Windrush risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0275013.6Tarpon Springsparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 44

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 147Total filings over 18 yrs
  • 3.19%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.7%Peak (2001)
  • 12Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12103027501
Filings climbed 140% over the past 18 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 47Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.65×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Windrush. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Windrush

Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1.1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.1/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 147 filings here across 18 tracked years. Average gross rent is $1,490, 15% above the Tarpon Springs average. It sits 0.8 points below the Pinellas County average of 3.8.

The worst year on record was 2001, when 4.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 4.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12103027501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103027501?

Census tract 12103027501 in the Windrush neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12103027501?

Median gross rent is $1,490/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12103027501?

4.2% of residents in tract 12103027501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,245.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12103027501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 40th, minority 25th, housing 46th.
Q5

Is tract 12103027501 considered part of Windrush?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103027501 fall within Windrush (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103027501?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 147 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103027501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.19% of renter households, peaking at 4.7% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12103027501 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.65× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12103027501 compare to Tarpon Springs overall?

Tract 12103027501 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Tarpon Springs at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tarpon Springs; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tarpon Springs

Top eight tracts in Tarpon Springs ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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