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Neighborhood · Ranked #73,892 of 84,120 nationally

Windrush Eviction Risk: Lower , Tarpon Springs

Tract 12103027501 · Pinellas, FL · pop 6,245 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Eviction risk in Windrush in Tarpon Springs centers on tract 12103027501, which scores $1/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 6,245 residents. That is riskier than roughly 39% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 55% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,490 a month against an average household income of $93,906 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 10% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 5% Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units2,841
Renter share10.3%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate4.2%
Median income$93,906

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Windrush
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 6 tracts In Tarpon Springs
Very Low
Within county
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#250 of 273 tracts In Pinellas
Very Low
Within state
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#4,494 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tarpon Springs and the region

Centroid at 28.1543, -82.8051 · click any tract to drill in

Why Windrush scores 2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tarpon Springs
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.2% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,490 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tarpon Springs
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tarpon Springs
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tarpon Springs
6.7

How Windrush compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Windrush risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.02.0This tracttract 027501Tarpon Springs: 2.42.4Tarpon Springsparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 44

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 147Total filings over 18 yrs
  • 3.19%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.7%Peak (2001)
  • 12Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121030275012000: 5 filings (1.82/100 renter HHs)2001: 13 filings (4.73/100 renter HHs)2002: 4 filings (1.45/100 renter HHs)2003: 7 filings (2.55/100 renter HHs)2004: 7 filings (2.55/100 renter HHs)2005: 10 filings (4.72/100 renter HHs)2006: 8 filings (3.78/100 renter HHs)2007: 6 filings (2.83/100 renter HHs)2008: 12 filings (5.67/100 renter HHs)2009: 5 filings (2.36/100 renter HHs)2010: 10 filings (2.62/100 renter HHs)2011: 4 filings (1.27/100 renter HHs)2012: 8 filings (2.54/100 renter HHs)2013: 10 filings (3.17/100 renter HHs)2014: 6 filings (1.90/100 renter HHs)2015: 7 filings (2.22/100 renter HHs)2016: 13 filings (5.88/100 renter HHs)2017: 12 filings (5.43/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 140% over the past 18 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 47Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.65×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-10-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-12-01: 7 filings (9.33× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-08-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-02-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-11-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2025-03-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-07-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Windrush. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Windrush

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tarpon Springs, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.65x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 147 eviction filings here over 18 tracked years, with about 3.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.7% of renter households in 2001.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12103027501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103027501?

Census tract 12103027501 in the Windrush neighborhood scores 2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12103027501?

Median gross rent is $1,490/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12103027501?

4.2% of residents in tract 12103027501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,245.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12103027501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 40th, minority 25th, housing 46th.
Q5

Is tract 12103027501 considered part of Windrush?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103027501 fall within Windrush (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103027501?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 147 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103027501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.19% of renter households, peaking at 4.7% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12103027501 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.65× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12103027501 compare to Tarpon Springs overall?

Tract 12103027501 scores 2/10, lower than the parent city of Tarpon Springs at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tarpon Springs; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tarpon Springs

Top eight tracts in Tarpon Springs ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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