Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Childs Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103028500 · Pinellas, FL · pop 1,772 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Census tract 12103028500 covers part of the Childs Park area of Gulfport, FL, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,772. Severe burden reaches 35%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units982
Renter share31.3%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate18.2%
Median income$68,349
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
76
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.7407, -82.6984 · click any tract to drill in
Why Childs Park scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
18.2% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,141 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
7.6
How Childs Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 53
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 64%Household composition
- 35%Racial/ethnic minority
- 33%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 18%Grade C
- 44%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 428Total filings over 18 yrs
- 5.26%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.7%Peak (2000)
- 14Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 70% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 51Total filings 2020-21
- 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.69×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Childs Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Childs Park
Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.7/10. 63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Pinellas County average of 53.4%.
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,141, 27% below the Gulfport average. Against the Pinellas County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points.
The poverty rate is 18%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The filing record is not thin: 428 evictions over 18 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2000 at 9.7% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Petersburg. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 5.3% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103028500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103028500?
Census tract 12103028500 in the Childs Park neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103028500?
Median gross rent is $1,141/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103028500?
18.2% of residents in tract 12103028500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,772.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103028500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 64th, minority 35th, housing 33th.
Q5
Is tract 12103028500 considered part of Childs Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103028500 fall within Childs Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103028500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 428 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103028500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.26% of renter households, peaking at 9.7% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103028500 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.69× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103028500 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103028500 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12103028500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 44% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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