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Neighborhood · St. Petersburg, FL

Childs Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 10,580 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.6/10 · range 3.5–4.9

Childs Park spans 4 census tracts of St. Petersburg, FL and houses 10,580 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.6/10, Moderate tier. The severe-burden share is 52%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Cost burden runs 70% against 33.9% citywide, putting Childs Park 35.8% over its own city. Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. Scores across the 4 constituent tracts range from 3.5 to 4.9. A 1.4-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

The poverty rate is 22%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.7/10.

Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.8/10. Court records carry 2,564 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 18.9% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 9.2% in 2017, is well off that peak. Among the 42 mapped neighborhoods of St. Petersburg, it ranks #7 by risk, the upper third.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Historic Kenwood and Fossil Park. Average gross rent runs $1,680, close to the St. Petersburg average. 34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.6 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Childs Park vs St. Petersburg How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
69.7% +106%
St. Petersburg: 33.9%
Average gross rent
$1,680 +1%
St. Petersburg: $1,663
Average HH income
$54,226 -31%
St. Petersburg: $78,724
Poverty rate
22.1% +90%
St. Petersburg: 11.7%
Renter share
33.9% -9%
St. Petersburg: 37.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Childs Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3.5–4.9

Why Childs Park scores 4.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.5 across tracts
5.1
Rent control risk
70% of income on rent · Range 1.5–8.7 across tracts
2.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.9–3.0 across tracts
2.8
Tenant organizing strength
34% renter households · Range 4.5–5.7 across tracts
4.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–7.6 across tracts
4.6
Economic stress
22.1% below poverty line · Range 1.9–7.9 across tracts
5.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–4.4 across tracts
3.5
Risk score comparison

Childs Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Childs Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.6Childs ParkNeighborhood3.5Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Childs Park?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.4 points from 3.5 to 4.9. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Childs Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12103020800 4.9 4,147 81% $1,865
12103022000 4.8 3,114 72% $1,659
12103028500 4.8 1,772 63% $1,141
12103020110 3.5 1,547 43% $1,846
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 64

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 75%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 48%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 76%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 44%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Childs Park

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,564Total filings (sum)
  • 9.89%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.9%Peak year (2016)
  • 10.33%Latest filed (2017)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 625Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.8Avg monthly observed
  • 5.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.52×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Childs Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Childs Park?

Childs Park scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Childs Park compare to St. Petersburg overall?

Childs Park scores 1.1 points higher than St. Petersburg overall (3.5/10). Renters spend 70% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,680 vs $1,663.
Q3

What is the average rent in Childs Park?

Average gross rent in Childs Park is $1,680/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Childs Park residents are renters?

34% of Childs Park households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in St. Petersburg). The neighborhood has 10,580 residents.
Q5

Is Childs Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Childs Park sits in the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Childs Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Childs Park is census tract 12103020800 (score 4.9/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.5 to 4.9, a spread of 1.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Childs Park for landlords?

Childs Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.6/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Petersburg as a whole (3.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Childs Park?

Childs Park has 9,874 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (58.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (32.8%), Other / Multiracial (4.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Childs Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Petersburg

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Childs Park.

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