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Neighborhood · St. Petersburg, FL

Childs Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 10,580 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 3.4–5.2

Childs Park is a black-white neighborhood in St. Petersburg with 4 census tracts and a population of 10,580 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 70% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 52% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,680/month sits 1% higher than the St. Petersburg citywide average ($1,663).

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Childs Park vs St. Petersburg How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
69.7% +106%
St. Petersburg: 33.9%
Average gross rent
$1,680 +1%
St. Petersburg: $1,663
Average HH income
$54,226 -31%
St. Petersburg: $78,724
Poverty rate
22.1% +90%
St. Petersburg: 11.7%
Renter share
33.9% -9%
St. Petersburg: 37.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Childs Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3.4–5.2

Why Childs Park scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.5 across tracts
5.1
Rent control risk
70% of income on rent · Range 1.5–8.7 across tracts
2.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.9–3.0 across tracts
2.8
Tenant organizing strength
34% renter households · Range 4.5–5.7 across tracts
4.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–7.6 across tracts
4.6
Economic stress
22.1% below poverty line · Range 1.9–7.9 across tracts
5.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–4.4 across tracts
3.5
Risk score comparison

Childs Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Childs Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Childs Park: 4.54.5Childs ParkNeighborhoodParent city: 2.72.7Parent cityhost cityState: 2.52.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Childs Park?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.8 points from 3.4 to 5.2. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Childs Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12103020800 5.2 4,147 81% $1,865
12103022000 4.3 3,114 72% $1,659
12103028500 4 1,772 63% $1,141
12103020110 3.4 1,547 43% $1,846
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 64

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 75%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 48%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 76%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 44%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Childs Park

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,564Total filings (sum)
  • 9.89%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.9%Peak year (2016)
  • 10.33%Latest filed (2017)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 625Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.8Avg monthly observed
  • 5.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.52×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Childs Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Childs Park?

Childs Park scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Childs Park compare to St. Petersburg overall?

Childs Park scores 1.8 points higher than St. Petersburg overall (2.7/10). Renters spend 70% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,680 vs $1,663.
Q3

What is the average rent in Childs Park?

Average gross rent in Childs Park is $1,680/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Childs Park residents are renters?

34% of Childs Park households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in St. Petersburg). The neighborhood has 10,580 residents.
Q5

Is Childs Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Childs Park sits in the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Childs Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Childs Park is census tract 12103020800 (score 5.2/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.4 to 5.2, a spread of 1.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Childs Park for landlords?

Childs Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Petersburg as a whole (2.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Childs Park?

Childs Park has 9,874 residents (Black-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (58.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (32.8%), Other / Multiracial (4.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Childs Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Petersburg

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Childs Park.

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