Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Childs Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103020800 · Pinellas, FL · pop 4,147 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
12103020800 is a census tract in the Childs Park area of St. Petersburg, FL. It scores 4.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,147 residents. 63% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,305
Renter share49.7%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate31.5%
Median income$48,246
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
95
th percentile
Very High
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.7569, -82.6895 · click any tract to drill in
Why Childs Park scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
31.5% poverty · this tract
7.9
Supply constraint
$1,865 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How Childs Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 44%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 75%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 5%Grade C
- 88%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,526Total filings over 18 yrs
- 11.79%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.7%Peak (2016)
- 92Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 56% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 383Total filings 2020-21
- 5.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 10.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.52×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Childs Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Childs Park
Against Pinellas County at 53.4%, 81% of renters here are cost-burdened. Annualized rent equals 46% of average household income of $48,246, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 32%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Running hot, economic stress reads 7.9/10. Against the Pinellas County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.
The filing record is not thin: 1,526 evictions over 18 years of observation. Average gross rent is $1,865, 12% above the St. Petersburg average. The worst year on record was 2016, when 17.7% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Petersburg. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 11.8% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #34,278 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.3/10. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103020800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103020800?
Census tract 12103020800 in the Childs Park neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103020800?
Median gross rent is $1,865/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 81% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103020800?
31.5% of residents in tract 12103020800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,147.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103020800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 44th, minority 90th, housing 75th.
Q5
Is tract 12103020800 considered part of Childs Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103020800 fall within Childs Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103020800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,526 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103020800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.79% of renter households, peaking at 17.7% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103020800 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.52× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103020800 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103020800 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12103020800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 88% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12103020206
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bridgewater Place
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Palmetto Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bartlett Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Thirteenth Street Heights
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riviera Bay
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Childs Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Holiday Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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