Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Childs Park Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103020110 · Pinellas, FL · pop 1,547 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 3.5/10, tract 12103020110 in the Childs Park area of St. Petersburg, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,547 residents. Set annual rent against average income of $59,514 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units534
Renter share19.1%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate7.7%
Median income$59,514
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.7483, -82.6964 · click any tract to drill in
Why Childs Park scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.7% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,846 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How Childs Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 24
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 45%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 27%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 90%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 57Total filings 2020-21
- 0.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.30×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Childs Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Childs Park
The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
Cost burden runs 43% here against 53.4% across Pinellas County. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.9/10. Average gross rent is $1,846, 11% above the St. Petersburg average. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
Nationally it ranks #57,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.2/10.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Pinellas County average of 3.8 closely.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103020110
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103020110?
Census tract 12103020110 in the Childs Park neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103020110?
Median gross rent is $1,846/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103020110?
7.7% of residents in tract 12103020110 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,547.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103020110?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 3th, minority 77th, housing 27th.
Q5
Is tract 12103020110 considered part of Childs Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103020110 fall within Childs Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12103020110 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.30× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12103020110 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103020110 scores 3.5/10, right in line with the parent city of St. Petersburg at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 12103020110 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 90% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Childs Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Thirteenth Street Heights
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riviera Bay
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103020206
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bridgewater Place
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Palmetto Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bartlett Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Holiday Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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