Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #52,438 of 84,120 nationally
Childs Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103020110 · Pinellas, FL · pop 1,547 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
In the Childs Park area of St. Petersburg, census tract 12103020110 scores 4.4/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #66,455 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 43% of renter households, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,846 a month against an average household income of $59,514 a year, roughly 37% of income at the averages. About 19% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units534
Renter share19.1%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate7.7%
Median income$59,514
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
55
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
53
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.7483, -82.6964 · click any tract to drill in
Why Childs Park scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.7% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,846 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How Childs Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 24
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 45%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 27%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 90%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 57Total filings 2020-21
- 0.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.30×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Childs Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Childs Park
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 4.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.30x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 90% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103020110
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103020110?
Census tract 12103020110 in the Childs Park neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103020110?
Median gross rent is $1,846/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103020110?
7.7% of residents in tract 12103020110 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,547.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103020110?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 3th, minority 77th, housing 27th.
Q5
Is tract 12103020110 considered part of Childs Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103020110 fall within Childs Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12103020110 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.30× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12103020110 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103020110 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 12103020110 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 90% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Thirteenth Street Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Childs Park
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12103020206
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Palmetto Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riviera Bay
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bridgewater Place
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bartlett Park
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Childs Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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