Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally
Roser Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103028601 · Pinellas, FL · pop 2,937 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 12103028601 sits in the Roser Park area of St. Petersburg, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4/10. It is home to 2,937 residents. This is renter territory: 91% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46%
Stable renters 45%
Owners 9%
Tract context
Occupied units2,377
Renter share91.1%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate11.9%
Median income$55,972
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
56
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.7651, -82.6428 · click any tract to drill in
Why Roser Park scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.9% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,511 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How Roser Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 11%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 43%Grade C
- 36%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 257Total filings 2020-21
- 3.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.75×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Roser Park
The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
Set annual rent against average income of $55,972 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.6/10. At $1,511 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of St. Petersburg commands.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Petersburg. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #48,956 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.5/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 51% of renters.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103028601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103028601?
Census tract 12103028601 in the Roser Park neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103028601?
Median gross rent is $1,511/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103028601?
11.9% of residents in tract 12103028601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,937.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103028601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 11th, minority 51th, housing 86th.
Q5
Is tract 12103028601 considered part of Roser Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103028601 fall within Roser Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12103028601 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.75× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12103028601 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103028601 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 12103028601 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 36% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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Riviera Bay
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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12103020206
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bridgewater Place
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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Palmetto Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bartlett Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Childs Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Thirteenth Street Heights
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Edge District
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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