Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally
Davenport Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12105012515 · Polk, FL · pop 7,359 · 41% of tract blocks fall in Davenport
Eviction risk in Davenport centers on tract 12105012515, which scores $1/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 7,359 residents. It lands near the 75th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 66% of renter households, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,960 a month against an average household income of $66,287 a year, roughly 35% of income at the averages. About 17% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units2,647
Renter share16.9%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate15.4%
Median income$66,287
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
53
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
National
51
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Davenport and the region
Centroid at 28.1533, -81.6201 · click any tract to drill in
Why Davenport scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Davenport
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.4% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,960 rent vs county FMR
9.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Davenport
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Davenport
2.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Davenport
8.5
How Davenport compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 57
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 27%Household composition
- 82%Racial/ethnic minority
- 47%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Davenport
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 9.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Davenport, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 57th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 12105012515
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105012515?
Census tract 12105012515 in Davenport scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12105012515?
Median gross rent is $1,960/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12105012515?
15.4% of residents in tract 12105012515 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,359.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12105012515?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 27th, minority 82th, housing 47th.
Q5
How does tract 12105012515 compare to Davenport overall?
Tract 12105012515 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Davenport at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Davenport; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Davenport
Top eight tracts in Davenport ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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