Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally

Davenport Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12105012515 · Polk, FL · pop 7,359 · 41% of tract blocks fall in Davenport

With a score of 3.7/10, tract 12105012515 in Davenport, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 7,359 residents. The severe-burden share is 39%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 6% Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units2,647
Renter share16.9%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate15.4%
Median income$66,287

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Davenport
Very High
Within county
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#81 of 174 tracts In Polk
Moderate
Within state
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#2,707 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
National
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#54,273 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Davenport and the region

Centroid at 28.1533, -81.6201 · click any tract to drill in

Why Davenport scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Davenport
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.4% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,960 rent vs county FMR
9.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Davenport
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Davenport
2.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Davenport
8.5

How Davenport compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Davenport risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.7This tracttract 0125153.6Davenportparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 57

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Davenport

Cost burden runs roughly two in three here against 45.8% across Polk County. The voucher gap is 46.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The dominant input is supply constraint at 9.7/10.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.6/10. Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $66,287, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 22.5% against 11.3% nationally. Nationally it ranks #54,273 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

At 17% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

It tracks the Polk County average of 3.9 closely. Average gross rent is $1,960, close to the Davenport average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105012515

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105012515?

Census tract 12105012515 in Davenport scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105012515?

Median gross rent is $1,960/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105012515?

15.4% of residents in tract 12105012515 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,359.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105012515?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 27th, minority 82th, housing 47th.
Q5

How does tract 12105012515 compare to Davenport overall?

Tract 12105012515 scores 3.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Davenport at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Davenport; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Davenport

Top eight tracts in Davenport ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related