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Census Tract · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally

Winter Haven Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12105013902 · Polk, FL · pop 5,788 · 46% of tract blocks fall in Winter Haven

Here is how census tract 12105013902, in Winter Haven in Polk County, looks to a landlord: a 5.4/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 5,788. On the national scale it ranks #38,702 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 38% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,121 monthly, set against $76,017 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 15% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 9% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units2,008
Renter share15.0%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate14.4%
Median income$76,017

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#11 of 16 tracts In Winter Haven
Low
Within county
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#88 of 174 tracts In Polk
Moderate
Within state
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#1,782 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#42,763 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Winter Haven and the region

Centroid at 28.0115, -81.6965 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winter Haven scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Winter Haven
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.4% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,121 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winter Haven
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8

How Winter Haven compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winter Haven risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.93.9This tracttract 013902Winter Haven: 2.42.4Winter Havenparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 233Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 5.37%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.2%Peak (2012)
  • 9Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121050139022000: 13 filings (5.24/100 renter HHs)2001: 12 filings (4.84/100 renter HHs)2002: 15 filings (6.05/100 renter HHs)2003: 7 filings (2.82/100 renter HHs)2004: 12 filings (4.84/100 renter HHs)2005: 17 filings (6.16/100 renter HHs)2007: 8 filings (2.90/100 renter HHs)2008: 13 filings (4.71/100 renter HHs)2009: 17 filings (6.16/100 renter HHs)2010: 11 filings (3.56/100 renter HHs)2011: 15 filings (6.38/100 renter HHs)2012: 24 filings (10.21/100 renter HHs)2013: 21 filings (8.94/100 renter HHs)2014: 11 filings (4.68/100 renter HHs)2015: 10 filings (4.26/100 renter HHs)2016: 18 filings (6.34/100 renter HHs)2017: 9 filings (3.17/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 31% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winter Haven

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Winter Haven, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 233 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 5.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.2% of renter households in 2012.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105013902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105013902?

Census tract 12105013902 in Winter Haven scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105013902?

Median gross rent is $1,121/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105013902?

14.4% of residents in tract 12105013902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,788.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105013902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 45th, minority 36th, housing 50th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105013902?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 233 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105013902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.37% of renter households, peaking at 10.2% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105013902 compare to Winter Haven overall?

Tract 12105013902 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Winter Haven at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winter Haven; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winter Haven

Top eight tracts in Winter Haven ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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