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Census Tract · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally

Winter Haven Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12105013902 · Polk, FL · pop 5,788 · 46% of tract blocks fall in Winter Haven

Census tract 12105013902 covers part of Winter Haven, FL, and scores 3.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,788. The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 9% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units2,008
Renter share15.0%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate14.4%
Median income$76,017

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 16 tracts In Winter Haven
Low
Within county
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#83 of 174 tracts In Polk
Moderate
Within state
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#2,707 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
National
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#54,273 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Winter Haven and the region

Centroid at 28.0115, -81.6965 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winter Haven scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Winter Haven
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.4% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,121 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winter Haven
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8

How Winter Haven compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winter Haven risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.7This tracttract 0139024.0Winter Havenparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 233Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 5.37%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.2%Peak (2012)
  • 9Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12105013902
Filings dropped 31% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winter Haven

The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1.3/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.4/10.

Cost burden runs 38% here against 45.8% across Polk County. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 233 filings here across 17 tracked years.

At $1,121 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Winter Haven commands. The worst year on record was 2012, when 10.2% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 5.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 35% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 4.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105013902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105013902?

Census tract 12105013902 in Winter Haven scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105013902?

Median gross rent is $1,121/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105013902?

14.4% of residents in tract 12105013902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,788.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105013902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 45th, minority 36th, housing 50th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105013902?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 233 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105013902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.37% of renter households, peaking at 10.2% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105013902 compare to Winter Haven overall?

Tract 12105013902 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Winter Haven at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winter Haven; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winter Haven

Top eight tracts in Winter Haven ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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