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Census Tract · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally

Bartow Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105015200 · Polk, FL · pop 4,073 · 97% of tract blocks fall in Bartow

In Bartow in Polk County, census tract 12105015200 scores 5.2/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 47th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

41% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $799 monthly, set against $46,953 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 29% Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,397
Renter share49.3%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate23.9%
Median income$46,953

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#3 of 8 tracts In Bartow
Elevated
Within county
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#33 of 174 tracts In Polk
High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#668 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,926 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bartow and the region

Centroid at 27.8828, -81.8194 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bartow scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bartow
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
23.9% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$799 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bartow
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bartow
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bartow
6.1

How Bartow compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bartow risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 015200Bartow: 2.22.2Bartowparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 551Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 5.33%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.7%Peak (2004)
  • 43Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121050152002000: 45 filings (7.18/100 renter HHs)2001: 38 filings (6.06/100 renter HHs)2002: 36 filings (5.74/100 renter HHs)2003: 34 filings (5.42/100 renter HHs)2004: 48 filings (7.66/100 renter HHs)2005: 27 filings (4.25/100 renter HHs)2007: 45 filings (7.08/100 renter HHs)2008: 29 filings (4.56/100 renter HHs)2009: 13 filings (2.04/100 renter HHs)2010: 11 filings (1.80/100 renter HHs)2011: 20 filings (3.46/100 renter HHs)2012: 13 filings (2.25/100 renter HHs)2013: 28 filings (4.84/100 renter HHs)2014: 35 filings (6.06/100 renter HHs)2015: 45 filings (7.79/100 renter HHs)2016: 41 filings (7.04/100 renter HHs)2017: 43 filings (7.39/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bartow

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bartow, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Polk County average of 5.0 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 551 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 5.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.7% of renter households in 2004.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105015200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105015200?

Census tract 12105015200 in Bartow scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105015200?

Median gross rent is $799/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105015200?

23.9% of residents in tract 12105015200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,073.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105015200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 85th, minority 74th, housing 97th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105015200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 551 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105015200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.33% of renter households, peaking at 7.7% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105015200 compare to Bartow overall?

Tract 12105015200 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Bartow at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bartow; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bartow

Top eight tracts in Bartow ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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