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Census Tract · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Bartow Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105015200 · Polk, FL · pop 4,073 · 97% of tract blocks fall in Bartow

Census tract 12105015200 covers part of Bartow, FL, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 29% Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,397
Renter share49.3%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate23.9%
Median income$46,953

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 8 tracts In Bartow
Very High
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 174 tracts In Polk
High
Within state
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#964 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
National
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#31,049 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bartow and the region

Centroid at 27.8828, -81.8194 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bartow scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bartow
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
23.9% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$799 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bartow
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bartow
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bartow
6.1

How Bartow compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bartow risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 0152003.7Bartowparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 551Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 5.33%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.7%Peak (2004)
  • 43Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12105015200
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bartow

Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.3/10. At $799 a month, rents run 30% under what the rest of Bartow commands.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against the Polk County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 551 filings here across 17 tracked years. 41% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Polk County average of 45.8%. Adults with no health insurance runs 18.6% against 11.3% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2004, when 7.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.3% of renter households face a filing.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105015200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105015200?

Census tract 12105015200 in Bartow scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105015200?

Median gross rent is $799/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105015200?

23.9% of residents in tract 12105015200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,073.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105015200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 85th, minority 74th, housing 97th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105015200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 551 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105015200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.33% of renter households, peaking at 7.7% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105015200 compare to Bartow overall?

Tract 12105015200 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Bartow at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bartow; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bartow

Top eight tracts in Bartow ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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