Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Auburndale Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12105013002 · Polk, FL · pop 5,567 · 43% of tract blocks fall in Auburndale
12105013002 is a census tract in Auburndale, FL. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,567 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1.4/10.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units2,199
Renter share41.1%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate25.2%
Median income$51,641
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
81
th percentile
High
National
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Auburndale and the region
Centroid at 28.0686, -81.7688 · click any tract to drill in
Why Auburndale scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Auburndale
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
25.2% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$922 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Auburndale
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Auburndale
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Auburndale
7.4
How Auburndale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 86
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 664Total filings over 17 yrs
- 6.33%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.5%Peak (2005)
- 28Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 24% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Auburndale
Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.6/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
At $922 a month, rents run 24% under what the rest of Auburndale commands. The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 1.2 points above the Polk County average of 3.9.
Adults with no health insurance runs 21.4% against 11.3% nationally. The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Court records carry 664 eviction filings across 17 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2005, when 14.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 6.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 8.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12105013002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105013002?
Census tract 12105013002 in Auburndale scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12105013002?
Median gross rent is $922/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12105013002?
25.2% of residents in tract 12105013002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,567.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12105013002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 92th, minority 52th, housing 73th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105013002?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 664 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105013002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.33% of renter households, peaking at 14.5% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12105013002 compare to Auburndale overall?
Tract 12105013002 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Auburndale at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Auburndale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Auburndale
Top eight tracts in Auburndale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Auburndale
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105011604
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105013200
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105012409
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
12105013103
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
12105012408
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Auburndale
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Auburndale
3
/ 10 · Low
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