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Census Tract · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally

Lake Wales Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105014201 · Polk, FL · pop 4,910 · 31% of tract blocks fall in Lake Wales

Census tract 12105014201 belongs to Lake Wales in Polk County, Florida. It is home to 4,910 residents and scores $1/10, an elevated reading for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 75% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 61% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,009 a month against an average household income of $51,210 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 27% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 11% Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units2,268
Renter share26.9%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate19.1%
Median income$51,210

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 8 tracts In Lake Wales
Elevated
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#44 of 174 tracts In Polk
High
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#915 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
National
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#29,578 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake Wales and the region

Centroid at 27.9646, -81.5742 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lake Wales scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lake Wales
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.1% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,009 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Wales
9.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Wales
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Wales
8.9

How Lake Wales compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lake Wales risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.74.7This tracttract 014201Lake Wales: 2.62.6Lake Walesparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 69

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 675Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 9.08%Avg annual filing rate
  • 32.0%Peak (2004)
  • 27Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121050142012000: 23 filings (9.31/100 renter HHs)2001: 33 filings (13.36/100 renter HHs)2002: 14 filings (5.67/100 renter HHs)2003: 23 filings (9.31/100 renter HHs)2004: 79 filings (31.98/100 renter HHs)2005: 66 filings (11.11/100 renter HHs)2007: 65 filings (10.94/100 renter HHs)2008: 53 filings (8.92/100 renter HHs)2009: 40 filings (6.73/100 renter HHs)2010: 44 filings (8.76/100 renter HHs)2011: 46 filings (8.46/100 renter HHs)2012: 27 filings (4.96/100 renter HHs)2013: 24 filings (4.41/100 renter HHs)2014: 34 filings (6.25/100 renter HHs)2015: 35 filings (6.43/100 renter HHs)2016: 42 filings (4.71/100 renter HHs)2017: 27 filings (3.03/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 17% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lake Wales

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 9.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lake Wales, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 675 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 9.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 32.0% of renter households in 2004.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105014201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105014201?

Census tract 12105014201 in Lake Wales scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105014201?

Median gross rent is $1,009/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105014201?

19.1% of residents in tract 12105014201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,910.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105014201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 89th, minority 50th, housing 34th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105014201?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 675 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105014201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.08% of renter households, peaking at 32.0% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105014201 compare to Lake Wales overall?

Tract 12105014201 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Lake Wales at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Wales; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lake Wales

Top eight tracts in Lake Wales ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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