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Neighborhood · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally

Old City Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Augustine

Tract 12109020200 · St. Johns, FL · pop 2,619 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 12109020200 covers Old City in St. Augustine in Florida. Home to 2,619 residents, it scores 3.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 3% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 39% of renter households, a high level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,002 monthly, set against $64,963 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 27% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 17% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,191
Renter share27.5%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate8.2%
Median income$64,963

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Old City
Moderate
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 7 tracts In St. Augustine
Elevated
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 50 tracts In St. Johns
High
Within state
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#2,476 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Augustine and the region

Centroid at 29.9075, -81.3143 · click any tract to drill in

Why Old City scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from St. Augustine
4.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.2% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,002 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Augustine
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Augustine
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Augustine
1.8

How Old City compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Old City risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.43.4This tracttract 020200St. Augustine: 2.32.3St. Augustineparent cityCounty: 2.22.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 20

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 58Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 2.65%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.9%Peak (2010)
  • 6Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2006 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121090202002006: 13 filings (3.14/100 renter HHs)2008: 13 filings (3.14/100 renter HHs)2009: 11 filings (2.65/100 renter HHs)2010: 15 filings (2.90/100 renter HHs)2018: 6 filings (1.43/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 54% over the past 5 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Old City

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Augustine, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the St. Johns County average of 3.9 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 58 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 2.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.9% of renter households in 2010.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 20th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 12109020200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12109020200?

Census tract 12109020200 in the Old City neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12109020200?

Median gross rent is $1,002/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12109020200?

8.2% of residents in tract 12109020200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,619.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12109020200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 11th, minority 24th, housing 22th.
Q5

Is tract 12109020200 considered part of Old City?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12109020200 fall within Old City (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12109020200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 58 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12109020200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.65% of renter households, peaking at 2.9% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 12109020200 compare to St. Augustine overall?

Tract 12109020200 scores 3.4/10, higher than the parent city of St. Augustine at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Augustine; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Augustine

Top eight tracts in St. Augustine ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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