Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Old City Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Augustine
Tract 12109020200 · St. Johns, FL · pop 2,619 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
With a score of 4.5/10, tract 12109020200 in the Old City area of St. Augustine, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 33% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,191
Renter share27.5%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate8.2%
Median income$64,963
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Augustine and the region
Centroid at 29.9075, -81.3143 · click any tract to drill in
Why Old City scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Augustine
4.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.2% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,002 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Augustine
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Augustine
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Augustine
1.8
How Old City compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 20
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 40%Socioeconomic
- 11%Household composition
- 24%Racial/ethnic minority
- 22%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 58Total filings over 5 yrs
- 2.65%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.9%Peak (2010)
- 6Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 54% over the past 5 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Old City
At $1,002 a month, rents run 39% under what the rest of St. Augustine commands. 39% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the St. Johns County average of 53.0%.
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 58 filings here across 5 tracked years. It sits 0.8 points above the St. Johns County average of 3.7.
Filings peaked in 2010 at 2.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.7% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #41,206 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12109020200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12109020200?
Census tract 12109020200 in the Old City neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12109020200?
Median gross rent is $1,002/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12109020200?
8.2% of residents in tract 12109020200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,619.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12109020200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 11th, minority 24th, housing 22th.
Q5
Is tract 12109020200 considered part of Old City?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12109020200 fall within Old City (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12109020200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 58 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12109020200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.65% of renter households, peaking at 2.9% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12109020200 compare to St. Augustine overall?
Tract 12109020200 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of St. Augustine at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Augustine; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Augustine
Top eight tracts in St. Augustine ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Model Land Historic District
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Model Land Historic District
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Madeira at Saint Augustine
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Lions Gate On The Island
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Anastasia Island Town Homes
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
12109020606
3
/ 10 · Low
Related
Explore the geography around tract 12109020200
Parent city ↑
St. Augustine
3.3 / 10
Parent county ↑
St. Johns
Parent state ↑
Florida
Sibling tract →
Model Land Historic District
4.7 / 10
Sibling tract →
Model Land Historic District
4.7 / 10
Sibling tract →
Madeira at Saint Augustine
4.4 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
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