Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Tract 12109021002 Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12109021002 · St. Johns, FL · pop 5,747

With a score of 4.9/10, tract 12109021002 in St. Johns County, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 14% Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units2,268
Renter share25.1%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate30.0%
Median income$58,826

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 50 tracts In St. Johns
Very High
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#1,143 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
National
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#34,278 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Johns and the region

Centroid at 29.9086, -81.3452 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tract 12109021002 scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
1.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
30.0% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$1,504 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
State baseline
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Tract 12109021002 compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tract 12109021002 risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0210023.7Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 152Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 5.42%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.5%Peak (2006)
  • 31Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2006 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12109021002
Filings dropped 18% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tract 12109021002

22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against St. Johns County at 53.0%, 42% of renters here are cost-burdened.

On the softer side, local political climate reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 30%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

Against the St. Johns County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. The filing record is not thin: 152 evictions over 5 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2006, when 6.5% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 5.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12109021002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12109021002?

Census tract 12109021002 in St. Johns scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12109021002?

Median gross rent is $1,504/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12109021002?

30.0% of residents in tract 12109021002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,747.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12109021002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 63th, minority 65th, housing 46th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12109021002?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 152 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12109021002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.42% of renter households, peaking at 6.5% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Related