Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Tract 12109021003 Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12109021003 · St. Johns, FL · pop 5,451
With a score of 4.9/10, tract 12109021003 in St. Johns County, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 35%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units2,181
Renter share38.1%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate18.0%
Median income$69,026
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within state
78
th percentile
High
National
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Johns and the region
Centroid at 29.8990, -81.3800 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tract 12109021003 scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
1.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
18.0% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$979 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
State baseline
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Tract 12109021003 compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 74%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 181Total filings over 5 yrs
- 5.16%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.4%Peak (2018)
- 47Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 24% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tract 12109021003
Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Well under the midpoint, local political climate reads 1.5/10. 44% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the St. Johns County average of 53.0%.
It sits 1.2 points above the St. Johns County average of 3.7. The filing record is not thin: 181 evictions over 5 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2018 at 5.4% of renter households. In a typical year about 5.2% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.3/10.
Against average income of $69,026, annual rent is just 17%. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12109021003
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12109021003?
Census tract 12109021003 in St. Johns scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12109021003?
Median gross rent is $979/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12109021003?
18.0% of residents in tract 12109021003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,451.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12109021003?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 59th, minority 61th, housing 74th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12109021003?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 181 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12109021003 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.16% of renter households, peaking at 5.4% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
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