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Census Tract · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

Tract 12109021301 Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12109021301 · St. Johns, FL · pop 8,738

Tract 12109021301 sits in St. Johns County, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.7/10. The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 16% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units3,127
Renter share27.6%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate8.0%
Median income$70,022

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 50 tracts In St. Johns
High
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#1,428 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#37,882 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Johns and the region

Centroid at 29.8403, -81.3465 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tract 12109021301 scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
1.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.0% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,178 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
State baseline
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Tract 12109021301 compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tract 12109021301 risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.7This tracttract 0213013.7Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 361Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 8.68%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.5%Peak (2006)
  • 42Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2006 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12109021301
Filings dropped 61% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tract 12109021301

Against St. Johns County at 53.0%, 42% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running cool, local political climate reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. It sits 1.0 points above the St. Johns County average of 3.7. Court records carry 361 eviction filings across 5 observed years.

Filings peaked in 2006 at 13.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 8.7% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent runs $1,178 a month.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12109021301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12109021301?

Census tract 12109021301 in St. Johns scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12109021301?

Median gross rent is $1,178/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12109021301?

8.0% of residents in tract 12109021301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,738.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12109021301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 60th, minority 33th, housing 94th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12109021301?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 361 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12109021301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.68% of renter households, peaking at 13.5% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
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