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Census Tract · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally

Fruitville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12115001204 · Sarasota, FL · pop 5,211 · 51% of tract blocks fall in Fruitville

Census tract 12115001204 covers part of Fruitville, FL, and scores 4.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,211. 27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 15% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units2,492
Renter share33.8%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate9.6%
Median income$80,719

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In Fruitville
High
Within county
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#30 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
High
Within state
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#1,882 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#44,239 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fruitville and the region

Centroid at 27.3747, -82.4581 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fruitville scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fruitville
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.6% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$2,128 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fruitville
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fruitville
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fruitville
6.2

How Fruitville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fruitville risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.3This tracttract 0012044.1Fruitvilleparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 69

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 143Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 5.26%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.6%Peak (2015)
  • 18Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12115001204
Filings dropped 45% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fruitville

The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10. The voucher gap is 15.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

The filing record is not thin: 143 evictions over 5 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2015, when 5.6% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 5.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 47th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 7.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

54% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Sarasota County average of 3.8 closely. Average gross rent is $2,128, close to the Fruitville average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115001204

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115001204?

Census tract 12115001204 in Fruitville scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12115001204?

Median gross rent is $2,128/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115001204?

9.6% of residents in tract 12115001204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,211.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115001204?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 74th, minority 33th, housing 88th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115001204?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 143 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115001204 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.26% of renter households, peaking at 5.6% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12115001204 compare to Fruitville overall?

Tract 12115001204 scores 4.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Fruitville at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fruitville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fruitville

Top eight tracts in Fruitville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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