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Census Tract · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally

Sarasota Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12115000407 · Sarasota, FL · pop 4,814 · 82% of tract blocks fall in Sarasota

For landlords sizing up Sarasota, census tract 12115000407 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. It lands near the 36th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 57% of renter households, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,687 a month against an average household income of $70,546 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 69% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 30% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units2,030
Renter share69.5%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$70,546

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 17 tracts In Sarasota
Low
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
High
Within state
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#2,476 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
National
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#51,553 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sarasota and the region

Centroid at 27.3437, -82.4998 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sarasota scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Sarasota
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,687 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sarasota
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sarasota
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sarasota
7.3

How Sarasota compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sarasota risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.43.4This tracttract 000407Sarasota: 2.32.3Sarasotaparent cityCounty: 2.72.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 237Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 6.10%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.1%Peak (2002)
  • 22Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121150004072002: 60 filings (9.05/100 renter HHs)2003: 59 filings (8.90/100 renter HHs)2015: 59 filings (6.03/100 renter HHs)2016: 37 filings (4.10/100 renter HHs)2018: 22 filings (2.44/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 63% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sarasota

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Sarasota, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Sarasota County average of 4.5 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 68th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 237 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 6.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.1% of renter households in 2002.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115000407

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115000407?

Census tract 12115000407 in Sarasota scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12115000407?

Median gross rent is $1,687/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115000407?

6.0% of residents in tract 12115000407 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,814.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115000407?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 61th, minority 66th, housing 82th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115000407?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 237 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115000407 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.10% of renter households, peaking at 9.1% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12115000407 compare to Sarasota overall?

Tract 12115000407 scores 3.4/10, higher than the parent city of Sarasota at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sarasota; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sarasota

Top eight tracts in Sarasota ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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