Within parent city
38
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Sarasota Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12115000406 · Sarasota, FL · pop 3,330 · 96% of tract blocks fall in Sarasota
Tract 12115000406 sits in Sarasota, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.3/10. Population here is 3,330. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,349
Renter share41.1%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate4.2%
Median income$59,653
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
75
th percentile
High
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
National
47
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Sarasota and the region
Centroid at 27.3339, -82.5068 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sarasota scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Sarasota
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,402 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sarasota
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sarasota
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sarasota
7.3
How Sarasota compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 53%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 190Total filings over 5 yrs
- 6.43%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.8%Peak (2003)
- 26Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 24% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sarasota
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10. Against Sarasota County at 50.3%, 61% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 20.8% against 11.3% nationally. At $1,402 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Sarasota commands.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 190 filings here across 5 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2003, when 8.8% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 6.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12115000406
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115000406?
Census tract 12115000406 in Sarasota scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12115000406?
Median gross rent is $1,402/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12115000406?
4.2% of residents in tract 12115000406 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,330.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12115000406?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 53th, minority 62th, housing 99th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115000406?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 190 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115000406 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.43% of renter households, peaking at 8.8% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12115000406 compare to Sarasota overall?
Tract 12115000406 scores 4.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Sarasota at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sarasota; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Sarasota
Top eight tracts in Sarasota ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12115000405
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12115001000
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Rosemary District
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Gillespie Park
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Towles Court
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Avondale
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Gillespie Park
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12115000503
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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