Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Osprey Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12115002102 · Sarasota, FL · pop 3,061 · 82% of tract blocks fall in Osprey
12115002102 is a census tract in Osprey, FL. It scores 4.6/10 for landlords. 28% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Sarasota County average of 50.3%.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,441
Renter share16.8%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate16.9%
Median income$78,004
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
70
th percentile
Elevated
National
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Osprey and the region
Centroid at 27.1870, -82.4871 · click any tract to drill in
Why Osprey scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Osprey
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.9% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Osprey
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Osprey
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Osprey
6.8
How Osprey compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 17
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 20%Socioeconomic
- 39%Household composition
- 16%Racial/ethnic minority
- 20%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Osprey
Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1.4/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.4/10.
Against the Sarasota County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 2.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12115002102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115002102?
Census tract 12115002102 in Osprey scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 12115002102?
16.9% of residents in tract 12115002102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,061.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 12115002102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 39th, minority 16th, housing 20th.
Q4
How does tract 12115002102 compare to Osprey overall?
Tract 12115002102 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Osprey at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Osprey; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Osprey
Top eight tracts in Osprey ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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