Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally

Renaissance on the River Eviction Risk: Moderate , Macon-Bibb County

Tract 13021013702 · Bibb County, GA · pop 1,162 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 13021013702 covers part of the Renaissance on the River area of Macon-Bibb County, GA, and scores 5.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,162. 48% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

5.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 21% Owners 39%

Tract context

Occupied units574

Renter share61.1%

SVI overall0.54

Poverty rate32.0%

Median income$36,167

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Macon-Bibb County and the region

Centroid at 32.8331, -83.6441 · click any tract to drill in

Why Renaissance on the River scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Macon-Bibb County

6.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.2

State political climate

Georgia legislature & governorship

2.0

Economic stress

32.0% poverty · this tract

8.0

Supply constraint

$1,495 rent vs county FMR

6.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Macon-Bibb County

8.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.7

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Macon-Bibb County

9.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Macon-Bibb County

8.4

How Renaissance on the River compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 54

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

71%Socioeconomic
9%Household composition
76%Racial/ethnic minority
53%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
14%Grade C
78%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Renaissance on the River. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.0%Housing insecurity
11.3%Utility-shutoff threat
18.8%Food insecurity
17.1%SNAP enrollment
11.1%Transit barriers
10.1%No health insurance
18.5%Frequent mental distress
30.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Renaissance on the River

Annualized rent equals 50% of average household income of $36,167, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.6/10. Average gross rent is $1,495, 40% above the Macon-Bibb County average.

Cost burden runs 65% here against 51.4% across Bibb County. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10.

The poverty rate is 32%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.4/10. The voucher gap is 19.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

It sits 1.0 points above the Bibb County average of 4.9. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the GA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 13021013702

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13021013702?

Census tract 13021013702 in the Renaissance on the River neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 13021013702?

Median gross rent is $1,495/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 13021013702?

32.0% of residents in tract 13021013702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,162.

How socially vulnerable is tract 13021013702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 9th, minority 76th, housing 53th.

Is tract 13021013702 considered part of Renaissance on the River?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13021013702 fall within Renaissance on the River (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 13021013702 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 13021013702 compare to Macon-Bibb County overall?

Tract 13021013702 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Macon-Bibb County at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Macon-Bibb County eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 13021013702 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 78% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Macon-Bibb County

Top eight tracts in Macon-Bibb County ranked by composite eviction-risk score.