Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Savannah

Tract 13051002100 · Chatham County, GA · pop 2,167 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

With a score of 5.1/10, tract 13051002100 in the Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District area of Savannah, GA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,167. The severe-burden share is 40%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

5.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 27% Owners 40%

Tract context

Occupied units940

Renter share59.7%

SVI overall0.72

Poverty rate22.5%

Median income$60,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Savannah and the region

Centroid at 32.0585, -81.0807 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Savannah

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Georgia legislature & governorship

2.0

Economic stress

22.5% poverty · this tract

5.6

Supply constraint

$1,356 rent vs county FMR

3.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Savannah

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Savannah

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Savannah

3.5

How Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

94%Socioeconomic
26%Household composition
78%Racial/ethnic minority
42%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
77%Grade B
23%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

95Total filings over 1 yrs
23.51%Avg annual filing rate
23.5%Peak (2011)
95Filings in 2011 (latest validated)

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

20.3%Housing insecurity
13.8%Utility-shutoff threat
25.7%Food insecurity
22.5%SNAP enrollment
13.6%Transit barriers
14.8%No health insurance
18.3%Frequent mental distress
34.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.6/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Cost burden runs 55% here against 46.6% across Chatham County.

Running cool, state political climate reads 2/10. The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

It sits 1.0 points above the Chatham County average of 4.1. Court records carry 95 eviction filings across 1 observed years. Food insecurity runs 25.7% against 17.8% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 22.5% against 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2011, when 23.5% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Savannah. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 23.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the GA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 13051002100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13051002100?

Census tract 13051002100 in the Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 13051002100?

Median gross rent is $1,356/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 13051002100?

22.5% of residents in tract 13051002100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,167.

How socially vulnerable is tract 13051002100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 26th, minority 78th, housing 42th.

Is tract 13051002100 considered part of Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13051002100 fall within Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 13051002100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 95 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 13051002100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 23.51% of renter households, peaking at 23.5% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 13051002100 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 13051002100 compare to Savannah overall?

Tract 13051002100 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Savannah at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Savannah eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 13051002100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Savannah

Top eight tracts in Savannah ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org