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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally

Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Savannah

Tract 13051002600 · Chatham County, GA · pop 1,866 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

How risky is the Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District neighborhood of Savannah for landlords? Census tract 13051002600 scores 5.9/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 72nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 58% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 37% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,590 a month while the average household earns $60,284 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. Renters make up 55% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 23% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units709
Renter share54.9%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate19.8%
Median income$60,284

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 7 tracts In Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District
Very Low
Within parent city
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 53 tracts In Savannah
Moderate
Within county
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 87 tracts In Chatham County
Elevated
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#776 of 2,791 tracts In Georgia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Savannah and the region

Centroid at 32.0542, -81.0931 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Savannah
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
19.8% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,590 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Savannah
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Savannah
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Savannah
3.5

How Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.74.7This tracttract 002600Savannah: 3.23.2Savannahparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 56Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 17.23%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.2%Peak (2011)
  • 56Filings in 2011 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Savannah eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Chatham County average of 5.6 and above the Georgia statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 56 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 17.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 17.2% of renter households in 2011.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 13051002600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13051002600?

Census tract 13051002600 in the Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 13051002600?

Median gross rent is $1,590/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 13051002600?

19.8% of residents in tract 13051002600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,866.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 13051002600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 26th, minority 77th, housing 48th.
Q5

Is tract 13051002600 considered part of Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13051002600 fall within Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 13051002600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 56 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 13051002600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.23% of renter households, peaking at 17.2% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 13051002600 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 13051002600 compare to Savannah overall?

Tract 13051002600 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Savannah at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Savannah eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 13051002600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Savannah

Top eight tracts in Savannah ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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