Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Savannah

Tract 13051002600 · Chatham County, GA · pop 1,866 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

13051002600 is a census tract in the Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District area of Savannah, GA. It scores 4.9/10 for landlords. 37% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

4.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 23% Owners 45%

Tract context

Occupied units709

Renter share54.9%

SVI overall0.74

Poverty rate19.8%

Median income$60,284

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Savannah and the region

Centroid at 32.0542, -81.0931 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Savannah

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Georgia legislature & governorship

2.0

Economic stress

19.8% poverty · this tract

5.0

Supply constraint

$1,590 rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Savannah

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Savannah

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Savannah

3.5

How Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

94%Socioeconomic
26%Household composition
77%Racial/ethnic minority
48%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
86%Grade B
14%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

56Total filings over 1 yrs
17.23%Avg annual filing rate
17.2%Peak (2011)
56Filings in 2011 (latest validated)

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

17.9%Housing insecurity
12.9%Utility-shutoff threat
23.1%Food insecurity
20.9%SNAP enrollment
12.8%Transit barriers
13.6%No health insurance
18.8%Frequent mental distress
32.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.6/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Chatham County average of 46.6%. Running cool, state political climate reads 2/10.

The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 56 filings here across 1 tracked years.

Average gross rent is $1,590, 15% above the Savannah average. It sits 0.8 points above the Chatham County average of 4.1.

The worst year on record was 2011, when 17.2% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Savannah. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 17.2% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #34,278 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 7.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 13051002600

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13051002600?

Census tract 13051002600 in the Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 13051002600?

Median gross rent is $1,590/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 13051002600?

19.8% of residents in tract 13051002600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,866.

How socially vulnerable is tract 13051002600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 26th, minority 77th, housing 48th.

Is tract 13051002600 considered part of Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13051002600 fall within Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 13051002600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 56 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 13051002600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.23% of renter households, peaking at 17.2% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 13051002600 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 13051002600 compare to Savannah overall?

Tract 13051002600 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Savannah at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Savannah eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 13051002600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Savannah

Top eight tracts in Savannah ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org