Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Savannah

Tract 13051002700 · Chatham County, GA · pop 2,956 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 13051002700 sits in the Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District area of Savannah eviction risk, GA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. 40% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 6% Owners 58%

Tract context

Occupied units1,217

Renter share41.7%

SVI overall0.66

Poverty rate21.8%

Median income$47,478

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Savannah and the region

Centroid at 32.0518, -81.0843 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Savannah

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Georgia legislature & governorship

2.0

Economic stress

21.8% poverty · this tract

5.5

Supply constraint

$1,317 rent vs county FMR

3.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Savannah

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Savannah

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Savannah

3.5

How Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 66

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

84%Socioeconomic
62%Household composition
79%Racial/ethnic minority
20%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
97%Grade B
2%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

113Total filings over 1 yrs
24.09%Avg annual filing rate
24.1%Peak (2011)
113Filings in 2011 (latest validated)

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

22.3%Housing insecurity
16.3%Utility-shutoff threat
28.6%Food insecurity
27.0%SNAP enrollment
14.8%Transit barriers
14.7%No health insurance
19.2%Frequent mental distress
36.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District

85% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Chatham County average of 46.6%. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.6/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

Set annual rent against average income of $47,478 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Running cool, state political climate reads 2/10.

Against the Chatham County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Food insecurity runs 28.6% against 17.8% nationally.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 113 filings here across 1 tracked years. Housing insecurity runs 22.3% against 14.2% nationally.

Filings peaked in 2011 at 24.1% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 13051002700

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13051002700?

Census tract 13051002700 in the Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 13051002700?

Median gross rent is $1,317/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 85% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 13051002700?

21.8% of residents in tract 13051002700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,956.

How socially vulnerable is tract 13051002700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 62th, minority 79th, housing 20th.

Is tract 13051002700 considered part of Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13051002700 fall within Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 13051002700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 113 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 13051002700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 24.09% of renter households, peaking at 24.1% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 13051002700 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 13051002700 compare to Savannah overall?

Tract 13051002700 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Savannah at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Savannah eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 13051002700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Savannah

Top eight tracts in Savannah ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org