Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Savannah

Tract 13051002000 · Chatham County, GA · pop 1,603 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

13051002000 is a census tract in the Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District area of Savannah, GA. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,603. The severe-burden share is 45%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 50% Stable renters 25% Owners 25%

Tract context

Occupied units773

Renter share74.6%

SVI overall0.90

Poverty rate44.2%

Median income$38,949

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Savannah and the region

Centroid at 32.0607, -81.0890 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Savannah

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Georgia legislature & governorship

2.0

Economic stress

44.2% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$1,306 rent vs county FMR

3.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Savannah

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Savannah

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Savannah

3.5

How Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

98%Socioeconomic
40%Household composition
74%Racial/ethnic minority
86%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
12%Grade B
76%Grade C
12%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

63Total filings over 1 yrs
18.26%Avg annual filing rate
18.3%Peak (2011)
63Filings in 2011 (latest validated)

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

24.1%Housing insecurity
18.8%Utility-shutoff threat
33.2%Food insecurity
33.0%SNAP enrollment
18.5%Transit barriers
16.8%No health insurance
22.3%Frequent mental distress
37.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District

Against Chatham County at 46.6%, 67% of renters here are cost-burdened. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

The poverty rate is 44%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.6/10. Set annual rent against average income of $38,949 and the ratio lands at 40%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

SNAP participation runs 33.0% against 15.2% nationally. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. 75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Against the Chatham County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Housing insecurity runs 24.1% against 14.2% nationally. Court records carry 63 eviction filings across 1 observed years.

The worst year on record was 2011, when 18.3% of renter households were served.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 13051002000

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13051002000?

Census tract 13051002000 in the Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 13051002000?

Median gross rent is $1,306/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 13051002000?

44.2% of residents in tract 13051002000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,603.

How socially vulnerable is tract 13051002000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 40th, minority 74th, housing 86th.

Is tract 13051002000 considered part of Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13051002000 fall within Ardsley Park-Chatham Crescent Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 13051002000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 63 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 13051002000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.26% of renter households, peaking at 18.3% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 13051002000 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 13051002000 compare to Savannah overall?

Tract 13051002000 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Savannah at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Savannah eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 13051002000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 12% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Savannah

Top eight tracts in Savannah ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org