Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

Wild Fern Eviction Risk: Moderate , Gainesville

Tract 13139000703 · Hall County, GA · pop 4,233 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 13139000703 runs through Wild Fern in Gainesville. With 4,233 residents, it scores $1/10 for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 75% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 37% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,180 monthly, set against $44,845 in average yearly household income, roughly 32% of income at the averages. About 63% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.7

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 40% Owners 36%

Tract context

Occupied units1,000

Renter share63.2%

SVI overall0.95

Poverty rate24.4%

Median income$44,845

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Gainesville and the region

Centroid at 34.2987, -83.7807 · click any tract to drill in

Why Wild Fern scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Gainesville

3.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

2.8

State political climate

Georgia legislature & governorship

2.0

Economic stress

24.4% poverty · this tract

6.1

Supply constraint

$1,180 rent vs county FMR

2.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Gainesville

7.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Gainesville

9.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Gainesville

7.9

How Wild Fern compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

97%Socioeconomic
80%Household composition
76%Racial/ethnic minority
87%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

27.6%Housing insecurity
17.3%Utility-shutoff threat
35.6%Food insecurity
29.1%SNAP enrollment
17.5%Transit barriers
26.6%No health insurance
20.0%Frequent mental distress
39.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Wild Fern

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Gainesville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hall County average of 5.6 and above the Georgia statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 27.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 13139000703

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13139000703?

Census tract 13139000703 in the Wild Fern neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 13139000703?

Median gross rent is $1,180/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 13139000703?

24.4% of residents in tract 13139000703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,233.

How socially vulnerable is tract 13139000703?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 80th, minority 76th, housing 87th.

Is tract 13139000703 considered part of Wild Fern?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13139000703 fall within Wild Fern (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 13139000703 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 13139000703 compare to Gainesville overall?

Tract 13139000703 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Gainesville at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gainesville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gainesville

Top eight tracts in Gainesville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.