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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

Lanier Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate , Gainesville

Tract 13139001004 · Hall County, GA · pop 3,372 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 13139001004 covers the Lanier Valley area of Gainesville, home to 3,372 residents. For landlords it grades 6.5/10, an elevated reading. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 50% of renter households, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,580 monthly, set against $63,246 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 67% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 33% Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units1,300
Renter share66.8%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate24.0%
Median income$63,246

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Lanier Valley
Moderate
Within parent city
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 26 tracts In Gainesville
Elevated
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 50 tracts In Hall County
High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#477 of 2,791 tracts In Georgia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Gainesville and the region

Centroid at 34.3021, -83.8767 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lanier Valley scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gainesville
3.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
24.0% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$1,580 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gainesville
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gainesville
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gainesville
7.9

How Lanier Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lanier Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 001004Gainesville: 2.32.3Gainesvilleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 85Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 14.89%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.9%Peak (2003)
  • 85Filings in 2003 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lanier Valley

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Gainesville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hall County average of 5.6 and above the Georgia statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 15.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 85 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 14.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 14.9% of renter households in 2003.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 13139001004

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13139001004?

Census tract 13139001004 in the Lanier Valley neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 13139001004?

Median gross rent is $1,580/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 13139001004?

24.0% of residents in tract 13139001004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,372.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 13139001004?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 70th, minority 67th, housing 40th.
Q5

Is tract 13139001004 considered part of Lanier Valley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13139001004 fall within Lanier Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 13139001004?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 85 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 13139001004 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.89% of renter households, peaking at 14.9% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 13139001004 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 13139001004 compare to Gainesville overall?

Tract 13139001004 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Gainesville at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gainesville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gainesville

Top eight tracts in Gainesville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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