Within neighborhood
38
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,727 of 84,120 nationally
Moiliili Eviction Risk: Elevated , Urban Honolulu
Tract 15003002102 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 1,482 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
15003002102 is a census tract in the Moiliili area of Urban Honolulu, HI. It scores 7.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,482 residents. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.
Risk score
7.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units835
Renter share68.3%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate9.4%
Median income$69,018
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region
Centroid at 21.2857, -157.8175 · click any tract to drill in
Why Moiliili scores 7.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
9.4% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,481 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6
How Moiliili compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 70
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 66%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 87%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Moiliili. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.1%Housing insecurity
- 7.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.3%Food insecurity
- 15.2%SNAP enrollment
- 8.7%Transit barriers
- 5.9%No health insurance
- 15.6%Frequent mental distress
- 30.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Moiliili
The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.
68% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10.
Against the Honolulu County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. At $1,481 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Urban Honolulu commands.
56% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Honolulu County average of 50.9%. Nationally it ranks #10,727 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 7.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $69,018.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 15003002102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003002102?
Census tract 15003002102 in the Moiliili neighborhood scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 15003002102?
Median gross rent is $1,481/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 15003002102?
9.4% of residents in tract 15003002102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,482.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 15003002102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 66th, minority 89th, housing 87th.
Q5
Is tract 15003002102 considered part of Moiliili?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003002102 fall within Moiliili (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 15003002102 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 15003002102 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?
Tract 15003002102 scores 7.4/10, higher than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu
Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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