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Neighborhood · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally

Moiliili Eviction Risk: Elevated , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003003604 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 2,140 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Tract 15003003604 sits in the Moiliili area of Urban Honolulu eviction risk, HI, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.5/10. It is home to 2,140 residents. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.

Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 35% Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units1,241
Renter share66.3%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate6.5%
Median income$56,620

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 33 tracts In Moiliili
Moderate
Within parent city
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#52 of 132 tracts In Urban Honolulu
Elevated
Within county
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#66 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
High
Within state
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#69 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.2930, -157.8391 · click any tract to drill in

Why Moiliili scores 7.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
6.5% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,536 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6

How Moiliili compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Moiliili risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.5This tracttract 0036046.6Urban Honoluluparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county5.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Moiliili. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Moiliili

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $56,620, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. 66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Running cool, economic stress reads 1.6/10. It sits 1.5 points above the Honolulu County average of 6.0.

At $1,536 a month, rents run 16% under what the rest of Urban Honolulu commands. On the national scale it lands near the 88th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

roughly one in two of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003003604

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003003604?

Census tract 15003003604 in the Moiliili neighborhood scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 15003003604?

Median gross rent is $1,536/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003003604?

6.5% of residents in tract 15003003604 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,140.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003003604?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 59th, minority 90th, housing 97th.
Q5

Is tract 15003003604 considered part of Moiliili?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003003604 fall within Moiliili (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 15003003604 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 15003003604 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003003604 scores 7.5/10, higher than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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