Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #12,919 of 84,120 nationally
Lower Mānoa Eviction Risk: Elevated , Urban Honolulu
Tract 15003003404 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 4,959 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
15003003404 is a census tract in the Lower Mānoa area of Urban Honolulu, HI. It scores 7/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,959. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.
Risk score
7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units2,279
Renter share43.5%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate7.0%
Median income$81,036
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
74
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region
Centroid at 21.3075, -157.8373 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lower Mānoa scores 7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
7.0% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,780 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6
How Lower Mānoa compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 30%Socioeconomic
- 40%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 95%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lower Mānoa. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.7%Housing insecurity
- 3.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.6%Food insecurity
- 7.6%SNAP enrollment
- 5.2%Transit barriers
- 3.9%No health insurance
- 11.8%Frequent mental distress
- 25.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lower Mānoa
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.6/10. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10. Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Against the Honolulu County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.9% against 11.3% nationally.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Nationally it ranks #12,919 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.8/10.
Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. 51% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
Average gross rent is $1,780, close to the Urban Honolulu average. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $81,036.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 15003003404
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003003404?
Census tract 15003003404 in the Lower Mānoa neighborhood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 15003003404?
Median gross rent is $1,780/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 15003003404?
7.0% of residents in tract 15003003404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,959.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 15003003404?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 40th, minority 85th, housing 95th.
Q5
Is tract 15003003404 considered part of Lower Mānoa?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003003404 fall within Lower Mānoa (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 15003003404 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 15003003404 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?
Tract 15003003404 scores 7/10, higher than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu
Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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