Neighborhood · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally

Lower Mānoa Eviction Risk: Moderate , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003003404 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 4,959 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

With a score of 5.2/10, tract 15003003404 in Lower Mānoa in Urban Honolulu ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,959 residents. On the national scale it ranks #45,016 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 51% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,780 monthly, set against $81,036 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 21% Owners 57%

Tract context

Occupied units2,279

Renter share43.5%

SVI overall0.64

Poverty rate7.0%

Median income$81,036

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.3075, -157.8373 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lower Mānoa scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

6.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.3

State political climate

Hawaii legislature & governorship

5.5

Economic stress

7.0% poverty · this tract

1.7

Supply constraint

$1,780 rent vs county FMR

1.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

7.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

9.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

6.6

How Lower Mānoa compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

30%Socioeconomic
40%Household composition
85%Racial/ethnic minority
95%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lower Mānoa. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.7%Housing insecurity
3.9%Utility-shutoff threat
12.6%Food insecurity
7.6%SNAP enrollment
5.2%Transit barriers
3.9%No health insurance
11.8%Frequent mental distress
25.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lower Mānoa

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Honolulu County average of 5.1 and in line with the Hawaii statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Asian and multiracial or other-race and ranks around the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003003404

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003003404?

Census tract 15003003404 in the Lower Mānoa neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 15003003404?

Median gross rent is $1,780/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003003404?

7.0% of residents in tract 15003003404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,959.

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003003404?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 40th, minority 85th, housing 95th.

Is tract 15003003404 considered part of Lower Mānoa?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003003404 fall within Lower Mānoa (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 15003003404 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 15003003404 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003003404 scores 4/10, lower than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 5.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.