Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally
Lower Mānoa Eviction Risk: Elevated , Urban Honolulu
Tract 15003003504 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 2,871 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
With a score of 7.5/10, tract 15003003504 in the Lower Mānoa area of Urban Honolulu, HI reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.
Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,505
Renter share49.2%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate13.4%
Median income$84,240
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region
Centroid at 21.2998, -157.8371 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lower Mānoa scores 7.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
13.4% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$2,167 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6
How Lower Mānoa compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 45%Socioeconomic
- 76%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lower Mānoa. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.9%Housing insecurity
- 4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.8%Food insecurity
- 11.2%SNAP enrollment
- 6.3%Transit barriers
- 5.1%No health insurance
- 11.5%Frequent mental distress
- 31.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lower Mānoa
The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Cost burden runs 40% here against 50.9% across Honolulu County.
Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10. It sits 1.5 points above the Honolulu County average of 6.0.
At $2,167 a month, rents run 19% over what the rest of Urban Honolulu commands. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.3/10. That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 7.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $84,240. 49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 15003003504
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003003504?
Census tract 15003003504 in the Lower Mānoa neighborhood scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 15003003504?
Median gross rent is $2,167/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 15003003504?
13.4% of residents in tract 15003003504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,871.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 15003003504?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 76th, minority 88th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 15003003504 considered part of Lower Mānoa?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003003504 fall within Lower Mānoa (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 15003003504 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 15003003504 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?
Tract 15003003504 scores 7.5/10, higher than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu
Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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