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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally

Lower Mānoa Eviction Risk: Moderate , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003003504 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 2,871 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

In Lower Mānoa in Urban Honolulu, census tract 15003003504 scores 5.2/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 46% of US census tracts.

About 40% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,167 monthly, set against $84,240 in average yearly household income, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 30% Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,505
Renter share49.2%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate13.4%
Median income$84,240

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 13 tracts In Lower Mānoa
Elevated
Within parent city
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#49 of 132 tracts In Urban Honolulu
Elevated
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#74 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
High
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#96 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.2998, -157.8371 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lower Mānoa scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
13.4% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$2,167 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6

How Lower Mānoa compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lower Mānoa risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.44.4This tracttract 003504Urban Honolulu: 5.35.3Urban Honoluluparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.33.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lower Mānoa. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lower Mānoa

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Honolulu County average of 5.1 and in line with the Hawaii statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Asian and ranks around the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003003504

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003003504?

Census tract 15003003504 in the Lower Mānoa neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 15003003504?

Median gross rent is $2,167/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003003504?

13.4% of residents in tract 15003003504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,871.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003003504?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 76th, minority 88th, housing 88th.
Q5

Is tract 15003003504 considered part of Lower Mānoa?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003003504 fall within Lower Mānoa (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 15003003504 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 15003003504 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003003504 scores 4.4/10, lower than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 5.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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