13 census tracts · pop 37,978 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7/10
· range 5.4–8
Lower Mānoa spans 13 census tracts of Urban Honolulu, HI and houses 37,978 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 7/10, in the Elevated tier. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.
Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 5.4 to 8, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. 41% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, higher than the Urban Honolulu rate of 32.4%.
Severe burden reaches 19%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.1/10. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.3/10.
4.9% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. That places it #7 of 20 neighborhoods in Urban Honolulu.
Average gross rent runs $1,893, close to the Urban Honolulu average. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $100,210.
51% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.6 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
7
Elevated
13 tracts · population-weighted
Lower Mānoa vs Urban HonoluluHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority85%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport76%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lower Mānoa
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
9.4%Housing insecurity
4.9%Utility shutoff threat
15.6%Food insecurity
10.3%SNAP enrollment
4.6%No health insurance
26.8%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Lower Mānoa
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Lower Mānoa?
Lower Mānoa scores 7/10 (Elevated tier) across 13 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Lower Mānoa compare to Urban Honolulu overall?
Lower Mānoa scores 0.4 points higher than Urban Honolulu overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,893 vs $1,823.
Q3
What is the average rent in Lower Mānoa?
Average gross rent in Lower Mānoa is $1,893/month (pop-weighted across 13 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Lower Mānoa residents are renters?
51% of Lower Mānoa households are renter-occupied (vs 51% in Urban Honolulu). The neighborhood has 37,978 residents.
Q5
Is Lower Mānoa a high social-vulnerability area?
Lower Mānoa sits in the 57th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Lower Mānoa have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Lower Mānoa is census tract 15003003414 (score 8/10). Across the 13 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.4 to 8, a spread of 2.6 points.
Q7
How safe is Lower Mānoa for landlords?
Lower Mānoa carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7/10). Pop-weighted across 13 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Urban Honolulu as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Lower Mānoa?
Lower Mānoa has 37,840 residents. Top groups: Asian (non-Hispanic) (45.3%), Other / Multiracial (25.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (21.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
