Neighborhood · Urban Honolulu, HI

Lower Mānoa Eviction Risk: Moderate

13 census tracts · pop 37,978 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10 · range 2.8–6

Lower Mānoa is a asian-other neighborhood in Urban Honolulu with 13 census tracts and a population of 37,978 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 41% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 19% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,893/month sits 4% higher than the Urban Honolulu citywide average ($1,823).

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

13 tracts · population-weighted

Lower Mānoa vs Urban Honolulu How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

41.2% +27%

Urban Honolulu: 32.4%

Average gross rent

$1,893 +4%

Urban Honolulu: $1,823

Average HH income

$100,210 +17%

Urban Honolulu: $85,428

Poverty rate

11.8% 0%

Urban Honolulu: 11.9%

Renter share

51.2% +0%

Urban Honolulu: 51.1%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lower Mānoa and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 13 tracts span score 2.8–6

Why Lower Mānoa scores 4.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts

6.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts

6.7

Rent control risk

41% of income on rent · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts

7.3

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

51% renter households · Range 9.2–9.2 across tracts

9.2

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts

6.6

Economic stress

11.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–9.8 across tracts

2.9

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–5.3 across tracts

2.1

Risk score comparison

Lower Mānoa vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Lower Mānoa?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 3.2 points from 2.8 to 6. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.

Tracts as heat grid

6.0 5.7 4.8 4.8 4.4 4.0 4.0 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.3 2.9 2.8

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

13 tracts in Lower Mānoa

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
15003003503	6	1,044	51%	$1,392
15003003410	5.7	2,342	52%	$1,623
15003003414	4.8	4,690	55%	$1,613
15003002701	4.8	3,712	40%	$1,818
15003003504	4.4	2,871	40%	$2,167
15003002702	4	5,029	35%	$1,973
15003003404	4	4,959	51%	$1,780
15003982100	3.7	1	—	—
15003002802	3.6	2,458	39%	$2,214
15003003409	3.6	1,882	45%	$1,781
15003002900	3.3	2,502	17%	$1,785
15003011600	2.9	1,830	34%	$2,766
15003003000	2.8	4,658	34%	$1,943

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 57

Pop-weighted across 13 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 37%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 43%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 85%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 76%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lower Mānoa

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

9.4%Housing insecurity
4.9%Utility shutoff threat
15.6%Food insecurity
10.3%SNAP enrollment
4.6%No health insurance
26.8%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Lower Mānoa

What is the eviction-risk score for Lower Mānoa?

Lower Mānoa scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 13 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Lower Mānoa compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Lower Mānoa scores 1.2 points lower than Urban Honolulu overall (5.3/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,893 vs $1,823.

What is the average rent in Lower Mānoa?

Average gross rent in Lower Mānoa is $1,893/month (pop-weighted across 13 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Lower Mānoa residents are renters?

51% of Lower Mānoa households are renter-occupied (vs 51% in Urban Honolulu). The neighborhood has 37,978 residents.

Is Lower Mānoa a high social-vulnerability area?

Lower Mānoa sits in the 57th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Lower Mānoa have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Lower Mānoa is census tract 15003003503 (score 6/10). Across the 13 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.8 to 6, a spread of 3.2 points.

How safe is Lower Mānoa for landlords?

Lower Mānoa carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 13 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Urban Honolulu as a whole (5.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Lower Mānoa?

Lower Mānoa has 37,840 residents (Asian-Other Neighborhood). Top groups: Asian (non-Hispanic) (45.3%), Other / Multiracial (25.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (21.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lower Mānoa

4.4 Moiliili 33 tracts · pop 70,696 4.4 Downtown 11 tracts · pop 26,086 4.7 The Arts District 16 tracts · pop 44,976 4.3 Kakaako Waterfront 4 tracts · pop 11,095 3.2 Waialae-Kahala 8 tracts · pop 20,325 3 Kaimukī 3 tracts · pop 7,665

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Urban Honolulu

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lower Mānoa.

4.2 Kakaako Waterfront 4 tracts · pop 11,095 3.9 Salt Lake 2 tracts · pop 3,902 4.3 Downtown 11 tracts · pop 26,086 3.8 Pālolo 1 tracts · pop 3,157 4.4 Kahauiki Village 12 tracts · pop 35,333 3.7 Kalihi Valley 5 tracts · pop 18,058

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