Neighborhood · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally

Lower Mānoa Eviction Risk: Lower , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003003409 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 1,882 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 15003003409 runs through the Lower Mānoa neighborhood of Urban Honolulu. With 1,882 residents, it scores $1/10 for landlords. It lands near the 39th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 45% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,781 monthly, set against $85,673 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

3.6

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 34% Owners 38%

Tract context

Occupied units979

Renter share61.7%

SVI overall0.38

Poverty rate3.2%

Median income$85,673

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.3045, -157.8401 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lower Mānoa scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

6.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.3

State political climate

Hawaii legislature & governorship

5.5

Economic stress

3.2% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$1,781 rent vs county FMR

1.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

7.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

9.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

6.6

How Lower Mānoa compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 38

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

38%Socioeconomic
7%Household composition
85%Racial/ethnic minority
59%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lower Mānoa. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.2%Housing insecurity
4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
15.6%Food insecurity
9.2%SNAP enrollment
6.5%Transit barriers
5.0%No health insurance
14.0%Frequent mental distress
24.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lower Mānoa

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Honolulu County average of 5.1 and in line with the Hawaii statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is Asian and multiracial or other-race and ranks around the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003003409

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003003409?

Census tract 15003003409 in the Lower Mānoa neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 15003003409?

Median gross rent is $1,781/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003003409?

3.2% of residents in tract 15003003409 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,882.

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003003409?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 7th, minority 85th, housing 59th.

Is tract 15003003409 considered part of Lower Mānoa?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003003409 fall within Lower Mānoa (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 15003003409 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 15003003409 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003003409 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 5.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.