Neighborhood · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Eviction Risk: Lower , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003003412 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 2,030 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 15003003412 belongs to the Downtown neighborhood of Urban Honolulu, Hawaii. It is home to 2,030 residents and scores 4.9/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 36% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 40% of renter households, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,715 a month against an average household income of $106,188 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 38% of occupied homes.

Risk score

3.4

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 23% Owners 62%

Tract context

Occupied units901

Renter share37.7%

SVI overall0.49

Poverty rate5.3%

Median income$106,188

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.3086, -157.8427 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

6.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.3

State political climate

Hawaii legislature & governorship

5.5

Economic stress

5.3% poverty · this tract

1.3

Supply constraint

$1,715 rent vs county FMR

1.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

7.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

9.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

6.6

How Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

39%Socioeconomic
40%Household composition
82%Racial/ethnic minority
52%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

6.6%Housing insecurity
3.4%Utility-shutoff threat
10.3%Food insecurity
5.9%SNAP enrollment
4.5%Transit barriers
3.4%No health insurance
11.0%Frequent mental distress
22.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Honolulu County average of 5.1 and in line with the Hawaii statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is Asian and White and ranks around the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003003412

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003003412?

Census tract 15003003412 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 15003003412?

Median gross rent is $1,715/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003003412?

5.3% of residents in tract 15003003412 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,030.

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003003412?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 40th, minority 82th, housing 52th.

Is tract 15003003412 considered part of Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003003412 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 15003003412 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 15003003412 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003003412 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 5.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.