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Neighborhood · Ranked #17,132 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Eviction Risk: Elevated , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003003412 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 2,030 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

With a score of 6.2/10, tract 15003003412 in the Downtown area of Urban Honolulu, HI reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,030 residents. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 23% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units901
Renter share37.7%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$106,188

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 11 tracts In Downtown
Very Low
Within parent city
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#94 of 132 tracts In Urban Honolulu
Low
Within county
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#151 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
Moderate
Within state
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#177 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.3086, -157.8427 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,715 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6

How Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.2This tracttract 0034126.6Urban Honoluluparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county5.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.3/10. 40% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Honolulu County average of 50.9%. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.4/10.

Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. SNAP participation runs 5.9% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 10.3% against 17.8% nationally.

On the national scale it lands near the 80th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Honolulu County average of 6.0 closely. Average gross rent is $1,715, close to the Urban Honolulu average.

Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $106,188. 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003003412

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003003412?

Census tract 15003003412 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 15003003412?

Median gross rent is $1,715/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003003412?

5.3% of residents in tract 15003003412 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,030.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003003412?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 40th, minority 82th, housing 52th.
Q5

Is tract 15003003412 considered part of Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003003412 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 15003003412 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 15003003412 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003003412 scores 6.2/10, lower than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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