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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003003411 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 1,507 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 15003003411 covers Downtown in Urban Honolulu, home to 1,507 residents. For landlords it grades 5.5/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 58% of US census tracts.

About 47% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,973 a month against an average household income of $98,466 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 17% Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units637
Renter share32.7%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate16.7%
Median income$98,466

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 11 tracts In Downtown
Low
Within parent city
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#52 of 132 tracts In Urban Honolulu
Elevated
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#82 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
High
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#101 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.3076, -157.8464 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
16.7% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,973 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6

How Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.34.3This tracttract 003411Urban Honolulu: 5.35.3Urban Honoluluparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.33.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 52

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Honolulu County average of 5.1 and above the Hawaii statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Asian and multiracial or other-race and ranks around the 52nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003003411

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003003411?

Census tract 15003003411 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 15003003411?

Median gross rent is $1,973/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003003411?

16.7% of residents in tract 15003003411 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,507.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003003411?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 51th, minority 85th, housing 67th.
Q5

Is tract 15003003411 considered part of Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003003411 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 15003003411 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 15003003411 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003003411 scores 4.3/10, lower than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 5.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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