Within neighborhood
30
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,727 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Eviction Risk: Elevated , Urban Honolulu
Tract 15003003411 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 1,507 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 15003003411 covers part of the Downtown area of Urban Honolulu, HI, and scores 7.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.
Risk score
7.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units637
Renter share32.7%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate16.7%
Median income$98,466
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region
Centroid at 21.3076, -157.8464 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown scores 7.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
16.7% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,973 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6
How Downtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 27%Socioeconomic
- 51%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.2%Housing insecurity
- 5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.8%Food insecurity
- 10.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 4.3%No health insurance
- 13.0%Frequent mental distress
- 26.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown
Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10. Against the Honolulu County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.3/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.3% against 11.3% nationally. At $1,973 a month, rents run 8% over what the rest of Urban Honolulu commands.
That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.6/10.
Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. about half of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $98,466. 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 15003003411
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003003411?
Census tract 15003003411 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 15003003411?
Median gross rent is $1,973/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 15003003411?
16.7% of residents in tract 15003003411 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,507.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 15003003411?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 51th, minority 85th, housing 67th.
Q5
Is tract 15003003411 considered part of Downtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003003411 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 15003003411 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 15003003411 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?
Tract 15003003411 scores 7.4/10, higher than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu
Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · HI
Lower Mānoa
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · HI
Moiliili
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · HI
The Arts District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · HI
Downtown
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · HI
The Arts District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · HI
Moiliili
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · HI
The Arts District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · HI
Moiliili
8
/ 10 · High
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