Neighborhood · Ranked #53,267 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Eviction Risk: Lower , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003003802 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 4,992 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Tract 15003003802 covers Downtown in Urban Honolulu in Hawaii. Home to 4,992 residents, it scores $1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 39th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 42% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,403 a month while the average household earns $106,477 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

3.3

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 23% Owners 61%

Tract context

Occupied units2,726

Renter share39.0%

SVI overall0.16

Poverty rate3.9%

Median income$106,477

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.3011, -157.8542 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

6.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.3

State political climate

Hawaii legislature & governorship

5.5

Economic stress

3.9% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$2,403 rent vs county FMR

3.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

7.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

9.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

6.6

How Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

6%Socioeconomic
3%Household composition
90%Racial/ethnic minority
59%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.2%Housing insecurity
3.6%Utility-shutoff threat
11.1%Food insecurity
6.2%SNAP enrollment
4.6%Transit barriers
3.2%No health insurance
11.8%Frequent mental distress
19.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Honolulu County average of 5.1 and in line with the Hawaii statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Asian and ranks around the 16th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003003802

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003003802?

Census tract 15003003802 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 15003003802?

Median gross rent is $2,403/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003003802?

3.9% of residents in tract 15003003802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,992.

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003003802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 3th, minority 90th, housing 59th.

Is tract 15003003802 considered part of Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003003802 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 15003003802 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 15003003802 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003003802 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 5.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.