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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Eviction Risk: Elevated , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003003802 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 4,992 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 15003003802 covers part of the Downtown area of Urban Honolulu, HI, and scores 6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,992. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 23% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units2,726
Renter share39.0%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate3.9%
Median income$106,477

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 11 tracts In Downtown
Very Low
Within parent city
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#101 of 132 tracts In Urban Honolulu
Low
Within county
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#155 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
Moderate
Within state
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#189 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.3011, -157.8542 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
3.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,403 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6

How Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.0This tracttract 0038026.6Urban Honoluluparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county5.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown

Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. Average gross rent is $2,403, 32% above the Urban Honolulu average. 42% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Honolulu County average of 50.9%.

On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10. 16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Disability prevalence runs 19.5% against 31.5% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.5/10.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

It tracks the Honolulu County average of 6.0 closely. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $106,477.

39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003003802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003003802?

Census tract 15003003802 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 15003003802?

Median gross rent is $2,403/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003003802?

3.9% of residents in tract 15003003802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,992.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003003802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 3th, minority 90th, housing 59th.
Q5

Is tract 15003003802 considered part of Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003003802 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 15003003802 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 15003003802 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003003802 scores 6/10, lower than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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