Within neighborhood
20
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Eviction Risk: Elevated , Urban Honolulu
Tract 15003003606 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 2,868 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
15003003606 is a census tract in the Downtown area of Urban Honolulu, HI. It scores 7.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,868. Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units1,380
Renter share59.9%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate11.9%
Median income$90,938
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region
Centroid at 21.2978, -157.8443 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown scores 7.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
11.9% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,691 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6
How Downtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 47%Socioeconomic
- 57%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 93%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.3%Housing insecurity
- 4.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.0%Food insecurity
- 10.1%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 4.4%No health insurance
- 12.9%Frequent mental distress
- 26.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.3/10.
On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10. Against the Honolulu County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.
That is riskier than roughly 86% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. 50% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
Average gross rent is $1,691, close to the Urban Honolulu average. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $90,938.
60% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 15003003606
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003003606?
Census tract 15003003606 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 15003003606?
Median gross rent is $1,691/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 15003003606?
11.9% of residents in tract 15003003606 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,868.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 15003003606?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 57th, minority 87th, housing 93th.
Q5
Is tract 15003003606 considered part of Downtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003003606 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 15003003606 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 15003003606 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?
Tract 15003003606 scores 7.2/10, higher than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu
Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · HI
Lower Mānoa
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · HI
Makalapa Housing
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · HI
Moiliili
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · HI
The Arts District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · HI
Lower Mānoa
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · HI
Downtown
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · HI
Moiliili
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · HI
The Arts District
8
/ 10 · High
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